2023-10-31 01:44:55
Pod Save America is a no-bullshit conversation about politics hosted by former Obama aides Jon Favreau, Jon Lovett, Dan Pfeiffer, and Tommy Vietor. It cuts through the noise to break down the week’s news and helps people figure out what matters and how they can help. They’re regularly joined by journalists, activists, politicians, entertainers, and world leaders. You can watch on YouTube or listen to new episodes every Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday. Ad-Free Pod Save America episodes available NOW through Friends of the Pod subscription. Head to crooked.com/friends to join today! For a transcript of an episode of Pod Save America, please email [email protected] (edited)
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What's up, Cleveland?
Welcome to plot Save America, I'm Jon Favreau.
I'm Alyssa Mastromonaco.
I'm Jon Lovett.
I'm Tommy Vitor.
I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
We have an outstanding show for you tonight. Congresswoman Amelia Sykes is here.
The executive director of Pro-Choice Ohio, Kelly Copeland, is here.
We are so lucky to be joined by our pal Alyssa Mastromonaco, the co-host of Hysteria.
So excited to be here.
So glad to have you all, right, let's get to the news. So the war in Gaza has obviously become a big political issue here in the United States, obviously, as Israel began its ground invasion. Over the weekend, the GOP presidential candidate spoke at the Republican-Jewish coalition in Las Vegas.
Vivek Ramaswamy told the crowd he'd love nothing more than for Israel to put the heads of Hamas leaders on stakes and line them up. Nikki Haley hit Trump the hardest for when he called Hezbollah smart and criticized Netanyahu. And then Trump got up, ignored all of them and got the best reception of the day.
The experts said our pro-Israel policies would produce terror and chaos. But I knew the opposite was true. That turned out to be right. Every single life that is lost in this conflict is on the shoulders of Hamas, Hamas alone, it's Hamas alone.
And I think you have to really add in the word Iran, think of this. We immediately announced that we're giving Hamas $100 million, we're going to give it to them into Gaza. But they take it 100 percent of it, they don't take 90 percent.
They take 100 percent the Biden State Department, which is admitting colossal amounts of jihadists into our communities and campuses and our refugee programs. That's why you see all of these big demonstrations in New York, in Chicago, nobody can believe what's taking place. They're letting them in at levels that nobody's ever seen before.
We cannot allow that to happen, and we don't want to be like Europe, with jihads on every corner. I will cancel the student visas of Hamas sympathizers on college campuses. The college campuses are being taken over. And all of the resident aliens who joined in the pro-jihadist protest this month, nobody's ever seen anything like it.
Come 2025, we will find you and we will deport you, we will deport you.
A chicken in every pot and a jihad on every corner.
I have to say, look, I don't like Trump, but I think that Oberlin-Hamas exchange program was a mistake.
Tommy Would there be peace in the Middle East and calm in the streets if Trump were?
President right now, yeah, I'm really never happier that he's no longer president than when there is some sort of global crisis or war breaking out or conflagration. Imagine him in the situation Room refuses to turn off Fox and friends, he's retweeting Cat Turd or whatever he does.
I would argue that, despite what President Trump said there, that his policies actually helped get us to where we are today and made things worse. That's because, like, starting at the topic, Hamas is a evil, it's a terrorist organization. They have a founding charter, you can read it, it's anti-semitic.
It is designed to eliminate the state of Israel, and the terror attack on October 7th was unjustifiable and evil and indefensible. And it's completely understandable that the Israelis would respond with military and intelligence operations first. But I do think long-term, to actually eradicate Hamas, you have to get to the root cause of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. You have to improve the life for Palestinians. And you have to get back into a process of negotiations that can lead to a two-state solution in a Palestinian state.
And so what Trump did in office with his dumbass son-in-law, Jared Kushner, was he empowered Hamas by systematically undercutting the Palestinian Authority. You have basically two power centers for the Palestinian people, there's Hamas and the PA, the Palestinian Authority, and Trump cut aid to the Palestinian Authority. He undercut the PA in negotiations for final status negotiations about a two-state solution. By recognizing Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and moving our embassy there.
And then his entire focus started to be on the Abraham Accords by the end of the administration. Which are these deals between Israel? And basically a bunch of regional autocrats like the UAE or Sudan to normalize relations with Israel? After given major incentives from the United States? Often it was weapon systems, et cetera. Now, the Abraham Accords and the normalization deals are not bad in and of themselves. But they made the Palestinian leadership and the Palestinian people felt like they were left behind. And like they were an afterthought, and desperate and hopeless, and like there was no way out of Gaza. Or that their future was life under military occupation in the West Bank, without hope for a Palestinian state. And so that kind of desperation and hopelessness is fuel for an organization like Hamas that can point to the Palestinian authority. And say, look at them, they are feckless, they are corrupt, they've not delivered a thing for you. Through this political track, come to our side, we'll take direct action and that can be a powerful message in that kind of situation. So we need to, going forward, make sure that that lunatic is never the president of the United States again, but also Joe Biden. I think the Biden administration needs to focus much more on getting the Israelis and Palestinians into a room, back into negotiations. And I think less on the kind of Abraham Accord agreements with the Saudis that they've been more focused on.
It feels like we could be at war with Iran right now. If he was president since he was saying. And I would throw the word Iran in there too. Which is something you want to say off the cuff?
I'm sure, yeah. He's like, I'm going to say one word, Hamas and Iran also if he was president.
I think we could very well be seeing like crackdowns and deportations on campuses right now. Because we've seen him do this with protests before, like, I don't think he would be handling.
That so well, the free speech warriors in the Republican Party, seriously, John.
So Alyssa, some of the other Republican candidates, Nikki Haley, did it during that event, clearly thought that they would be able to make an issue out of Trump's Hezbollah praise and his Netanyahu criticism. Judging by that crowd of Jewish Republicans and all the polls, they seem to have failed. Why do you think that is you guys?
Clearly, the Republicans have the memory of goldfishes. They don't care this is, you know? Like Tommy said, Trump did some things that would make them happy. When he was president, he moved the embassy to Jerusalem, things like that. But mostly, this is like the first time. He was really in a room back to back, you know, which we would call a cattle call, like of all the other candidates.
And the truth of the matter is like his base shows up like they want to hear what he has to say. They almost don't care what he's saying, they just want to hear him talk. And I mean, also on the one hand, Nikki Haley girl, your qualification? Being like, as president, I would not compliment Hezbollah is like, not exactly what I'm looking for at the. It's like, I hope so. It seems like a low barrier to entry.
But look, I mean, this is the same man that told people during a global pandemic to inject bleach into their arms. And people are like, you know what, let's give him another chance. And so it didn't really surprise me, though. I have to tell you, watching that clip, I was like, I did not miss him.
That is that level of stupidity to be.
Confronted with Daily, he's sort of been hiding out. Like, we haven't been seeing a lot of them. I think when people see more of them, they're gonna be like, Oh yeah, I also think like he, he did his, he did his penance.
He praised BB after he made those comments. But he's not super interested in the standing with Israel part. What he's much more interested in is scaring Americans into thinking that dark skinned foreigners are coming to cause us harm. Totally, he's the only.
One who can protect us. But, like, also Republicans, do you not remember when he was still on Twitter and hate tweeting Kim Jong un? I mean, like, this is not someone. We want to be president when the stakes are as high as they are. And so it was like, very sad to see him get the applause that he got. But it's not exactly like he was confronted with other dynamic.
Competitors? It's also true, Dan. The White House responded to Trump's promise to reinstate an expanded Muslim ban with a statement that said. Opposing hate is more pressing now than ever, as American Muslims and Arab Americans increasingly find themselves the targets of appalling smears and heartbreaking violence. So Biden's obviously the president who repealed Trump's Muslim ban. Why do you think they also wanted to weigh in on those specific comments?
I think Biden is obviously torn. The Democratic Party is very divided on Joe Biden's response to Israel, what it means. Whether he's doing enough, or saying enough, or expressing enough empathy for the people suffering in Gaza and also responding to, we are having across the board. There is a raft of anti-semitic commentary and rhetoric and attacks in this country. There is, you know, there has been anti-muslim attacks and rhetoric in this country. And Biden is right to speak out about.
What Trump wants to do is to weaponize the fear that is happening here for political gain to call it out for. And it is also notable that Trump's Muslim ban was one of his most unpopular policies that he put in place. And to remind people that that is what he would do, he's another person who would divide in this very dangerous time.
Yeah, and I think also it's to sort of send a message that, like, Yes, Biden repealed the Muslim ban, Biden will continue to speak out against Islamophobia. And by the way, in 2025, it's either going to probably be Donald Trump or Joe Biden as president. And if it's Donald Trump, this is what you're going to get from him.
Love it. So here's a To Dan's point about the Democratic Party divide. Here's a pair of fun headlines from The New York Times over the weekend. The first is Democrats splinter over Israel as the young, diverse left rages at Biden, and the second is primary battles brew over.
Progressive Democrats stances on Israel. So this seems like a split that's unfortunately only going to get worse as the death toll rises in Gaza. How do you think President Biden is handling the issue? How about that question?
I give love at the heart.
I got this, so first, just a caveat that no, I'm not the person who understands how Joe Biden should handle the delicate strategic and diplomatic and political challenge of Israel and Palestine. At a moment of a generational crisis, why not?
Survivor So just everyone, everyone heard that caveat. Great.
I feel like it is, I think, important that we're seeing a little bit more of Trump. As just a bit of a refresher as to where the base of the party is on this issue. Having Vivek out there saying these sort of bloodthirsty things, having Trump out there with this islamophobia, sort of complimenting what people like Lindsey Graham have already been out there saying. Kind of representing what the right actually believes, which is sort of an unfettered approval of an unrestrained response by Israel. On the other hand, you have, I think, a lot of antisemitism, a lot of anti-Israel propaganda, a lot of misinformation. Meant to, I think, rightly, kind of speak to the concerns and pain and fear that people have legitimately for the Palestinians. But at the same time, I think.
Alienating the vast group of people in the middle who believe in both the humanitarian responsibility that the world has to the people of Gaza, as well as understanding and having empathy for Israel. And the crisis, it's in the losses it's experienced, so I think there's two things, I think, in word and in deed. Look, the challenge, right, is. We don't know the difference between what Joe Biden says publicly, what the administration says publicly, what the administration is doing to pressure Israel behind the scenes. But that being said, I think that there is more Joe Biden could be doing to speak to that growing progressive.
Young part of the party that truly doesn't understand why the United States isn't putting more pressure on Israel. And I think that that calls for actions, but also calls for words. And just speaking to that concern directly and explaining more directly. A what we can be doing to protect people in Gaza, and b why? Part of this deeper problem is not just what Israel is doing to remove Hamas, but also the failures on the part of Hamas. On the part of the Palestinian Authority, the failures that have happened inside of Gaza, inside of the leadership on behalf of the Palestinians, that has helped lead to this moment on the other side of it, you know, I sometimes feel like this is. I understand why this is off-putting to people when you say, hey, like, you know, you need to say that, you need to denounce Hamas, you need to respect. You need to say that. You understand that Israel has a right to defend itself, you need to talk about the fact that Israel has a right to exist.
You need to reject the kind of ahistorical, kind of academic, lefty online jargon like settler colonialism. You need to speak out when people say things like From the river to the sea, which is terrifying to people that follow it. To its logical implication, which is that there cannot be a state of Israel. That there's a value to denouncing that, because it's like, why are you calling for this kind of denunciation? The crisis right now is that they're bombarding Gaza, that thousands of people in Gaza are dying, and I appreciate that I hear that.
But what I see is that, I think the most effective way to advocate on behalf of the humanitarian needs of the people of Gaza. The safety and lives of the people in Gaza is being part of this big coalition that understands that the future of Israelis and the future of Palestinians are linked. And that you need people that believe in a free and safe, democratic and Jewish state of Israel to demonstrate that they believe in the humanity of people in Gaza. But you, also those people that are advocating and believe in Israel, want to be part of a coalition with the people advocating on behalf of Gazans. That your advocacy isn't at the expense of Israel's right to exist, to the safety and freedom of people in Israel as well. And I feel like that is a big group of people, that is sort of the big middle between the very far right, which does not give that. That basically wants Israel to level Gaza and the very far left that doesn't recognize Israel's right to exist.
No, I mean, look, I think if the progressive movement is about anything, it's about solidarity. And I think that it is possible and important to hold two ideas in your head at the same time. Which is, you can want Joe Biden to do more to pressure Bibi to go after Hamas. In a way that results in fewer civilian casualties, a lot less suffering, and a war that doesn't spread throughout the Middle East. And if Biden doesn't think that's possible or wise, he needs to tell the American people why. And then I think Jewish Democrats, who are upset with progressives, like you said, want them to be more forceful. Not only in their denunciation of Hamas, but also in their denunciation of the disgusting anti-semitism that we're seeing here in the U.S and all over the world.
And I don't think those two, I think you can advocate for both those things. I don't think they should be in conflict at all. Yeah, and yeah, just to say it simply.
It's like that, if you care about advocating for humanitarian aid and relief for people in Gaza, you are in a much better position to do that. When you're advocating it as part of a big coalition that recognizes that whatever I've said, it already move on.
I'm sorry. How many more weeks are we going to talk about this? I guess forever.
Tommy It does seem like every day, more and more progressives are calling for a ceasefire. You have, I saw you on Twitter, I also see you in person.
That's the public. Why do you think the Biden administration isn't there yet for people who?
Are just wondering, like, what's going on? Yeah, so President Biden and a lot of people around him think that. The better path in terms of actually influencing Bibi Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel. And getting them to do what they want, is to back him publicly and then fight with him privately. I've been in meetings with the same people, giving the same advice when it was President Obama, they say. Hug Bibi in Joe Biden's case to Israel.
That physically happened. But then, you know, tell him what you really think in private. And I'll just be honest, I fucking hate that. I hate that philosophy, I hate that approach for a couple of reasons.
One, I don't trust Bibi Netanyahu. I don't think he's a good leader, I don't think he's an honest person, and I don't think we should outsource decision making to him. Two, if you only speak your mind privately, then you forego your ability to define the narrative and tell the world what you think.
And if Biden has concerns about the way the Netanyahu government is conducting this operation in Gaza, the world is not hearing it. The world thinks that everything the Israeli government does is backed 100 by the United States. And so, in fairness to Joe Biden. I think that his trip to Israel and his pressure from him personally and from his team is part of the reason that the Israeli government did not launch a preemptive strike on Hezbollah in Lebanon, which would have been an unmitigated disaster, it would be opening a second front in this war is about the scariest thing I could imagine. But if the U.S. has been pressuring Israel privately to allow more aid into Gaza, to dial back the airstrikes, to forego a ground invasion, then they have failed, and seemingly failed catastrophically.
And so listen again, I'm a podcaster, I'm not living next to Hamas, I'm sitting here in Los Angeles, the comfortable life. But I fully understand that. Right after the terrorist attack on the 7th of October that the Israeli defense forces had to target Hamas, they had to take out the rockets that were still being launched into Israel.
Days and days later, they had to go after their leadership. They had to try to disrupt any kind of Hamas operations they could find to rescue hostages in those early days. But now we're sitting here, three plus weeks later, 7,000 airstrikes later, in an area half the size of New York City. The latest casualty count on Sunday night was 8,000. People are dead, many of them children.
And so what I would like to see is at least some sort of, at least a temporary ceasefire. Some of the timeframes have been floated, let's say five days. You get humanitarian aid into Gaza, you begin negotiations around getting back hostages. I think unfortunately, if history proves to be true now, that we're going to get hostages back, Israelis will get hostages back through some sort of prisoner release and swap.
That's what happened. When Hamas took a soldier named Gilad. Shalit, held him for five years, and the Israelis ended up having to trade let 1,000 prisoners out of Israeli prisons to get back Shalit. I think something similar might happen here, but big, big, big picture. I don't want to see Israel get drawn into a bigger quagmire. Ground invasion, a broader regional conflict that includes Hezbollah, which has a lot better arms and 10 times the funding from Iran. And would just be a very, very scary proposition. And I think Joe Biden went over to Israel and was like, don't repeat the mistakes we made after 9-11..
Don't react out of vengeance. Let's think about this. I think that's very good advice. And I'm hoping that some sort of temporary pause or ceasefire could lead to a more measured response. Because the Israeli government is saying this is going to take a long time, this will be a months-long process.
It's a long campaign, so let's get relief into these people who desperately need it now.
I think Tommy fixed it.
Come to Cleveland, they said to Alyssa. We'll have a light conversation.
About politics.
These guys know that I was like, Here's the thing, I'm going to be super honest with you guys. I feel very self-conscious when I'm put in a position to talk about something that I don't know a ton about. And I wish more people were like me a little bit.
I think, in general, we all wish more people were like you.
It's like, Here's what I would just say, this is my two cents.
Protesting what the Israeli government is doing is fine. It's what this country is built on. You can protest, and it's freedom of speech, but for God's sake, do it peacefully.
Don't do it in a way that makes people who are already afraid and living in a fear that you possibly can't understand, feel more fearful. And I think that that's just so important. On social media. I was telling these guys, I have gone down such a spiral. Because I see something and I have to fact check it like five different times. Because I want to make sure whatever I'm reading is true. And so I would just say that I think so many people have good intentions and just really think about. When you are talking to someone about this issue. It may be an intellectual exercise for you, but it may be them revealing to you their deepest pain.
And so don't discount that by trying.
To win an argument.
How does they? On that note? Okay, we'll be right back.
Now it's time for, Okay, stop.
You know how it works, we roll a clip, we stop, we comment as we go this week on Okay, stop.
Speaker of the House Mike Johnson.
You know him, you love him.
Big fans.
Got some big Johnson fans?
We've already forgotten who he is, but before we forgot him, before we knew him, he was. Before he was a member of Congress, he was a candidate. And when he was a candidate, he gave a sermon where he laid out his philosophy, what he believed about the culture.
And also what he believed about certain gigantic boats and what could have been on them.
And it's a lot more than you'd think.
Let's roll the clip, some of y'all are around. In the late 60s, you remember that, what that was about the counterculture revolution, woodstock and drugs and peace and free love and all that. But more about the undermining of the foundations of religion and morality. Because, if you remember, in the late 60s, we invented things like no fault divorce laws.
We invented the sexual revolution, we invented, um, uh, radical feminism, we invented.
Okay, stop.
Radical Feminism?
Oh my God, whatever will we do? We invented no fault divorce.
Could you imagine invented like we're, like Edison, cranking things out in the lab?
I was like, also, who's we getting a patent for no fault divorce?
What role did Mike Johnson play we?
It's real, don't threaten me with a good time list, you know, it's like.
Look, everything went downhill after Maud terminated that pregnancy. Sure, she was 47, but she and Walter could have made it work. Did that work for anybody? Do people in Cleveland know about Maud?
Maud was the first woman in Prime time to get an abortion.
Absolutely.
Welcome, and that's not on my cards. I knew that.
Okay.
We know that we're living in a completely amoral society. And so people say, how can a young person go into their schoolhouse and open fire on their classmates? Because we've taught a whole generation, a couple of generations now, of Americans, that there is no right and wrong, that it's about survival of the fittest. And you evolve from the primordial slime.
Okay, stop.
Fuck the primordial slime.
Look, I was, I was going to become a pastor.
But now that I know about the voyage of the beagle.
I'm going to kill a volleyball team.
You see, the finches had different different their noses. The finches with the longer beaks survived. Now I'm going to kill everybody.
He drew little pictures in his little book of all the different animals you saw in the Galapagos. And ever since I have this image in my mind, sorry.
Okay.
You can't read. The words are real small, but if you drive around the state of Kentucky, all over the interstate, you'll see this billboard. Answers in Genesis. Put it up.
Okay, stop, just so people understand. For reference, Mike Johnson is showing a billboard for Arc Encounter, a creationist museum in Kentucky dedicated to the Great Flood and the construction of Noah's Ark. As real, historical, verifiable events. Including explaining how they got all the dinosaurs on there.
A lot of dinos on the archives, a lot of dinos.
It's a big boat and there was room for all the dinosaurs on there, and that's so important.
So important.
All right, let's continue.
To all of our liberal, intolerant friends, thank God you can't sink this ship.
Okay, stop.
That's a laugh line, I don't understand.
So the billboard is a picture of Noah's Ark, and it says To all our liberal, intolerant friends, Thank God, you couldn't sink this ship. I don't even understand what it means. I know, of course, we didn't exist, we're modern day people.
Nor would we have wanted to sink the ship if it had existed.
Can you sink a metaphor?
I don't know.
Also, I'm really struggling with this band set up in the back because, you know, just the most cringy creed shit is about to get played.
And it's like, what happened immediately prior or immediately after this sermon?
I think this was the big event of the day.
He's a keynote.
I just think it doesn't make sense, like, hey liberals, we wouldn't let you on this ship then, you wouldn't get on now. That's at least something.
You know, hey, God flooded the earth.
Maybe not historically accurate.
But I've also seen Jurassic World and you don't get on the boat with the dinosaurs.
And the dinosaurs can swim, they're in the water, too.
That's the other part. Well, they didn't.
You guys, we've cracked the code here.
I'm telling you I could talk about the Ark thing forever.
We're getting to the bottom of the ark.
I know I brought it up.
I just what I really don't understand. I still like. The Ark is not even the most confusing part to me. The most confusing part to me is the first couple years post-Ark. That's just, I don't get it. I don't know what they're eating. Were there extra species just to be consumed?
Because it's like, if you're gonna? Because these are predators that need to eat other birds, and so it's like, are there birds we don't have? Because those are the ones?
There's a big hole in the plot line in the Bible between when the I'll tell you it's suddenly, you're just like, Whoa, did I miss a page?
Yeah, yeah, so you're like, Where are the white walkers go? This doesn't make any sense anymore.
I'm telling you.
Do you think he brought all the freshwater fish on the boat?
That's a great question, I don't.
Was it all freshwater?
Just two of each fish. Well, couldn't it? Is it all freshwater?
You guys, I feel like I missed a lot in fourth grade history, yeah.
If we ever did an interview with Mike Johnson, these are the only questions.
Nothing about the supplemental or government funding. Or, like his views on whatever. I'd just be like, we got to talk about the Ark. I just want to talk about the Ark.
Vintage Tim Russert Just like, follow up after follow up after follow up.
Picture up on the screen.
Okay.
So no, but this is neat, though. Do you all watch the New Year's Eve? Rockin New Year's Eve, where the ball drops for New Year's Eve? So Kelly and I put the kids to bed, we were watching it. And this year, and Ryan Seacrest is standing there in Times Square, and I see over his shoulder, Kelly, come here, come here.
Okay, stop.
Do they still call it rockin New Year's Eve?
Just thinking of poor Kelly in another room, having a solitary moment of peace.
Just gripping the counter and thinking of someone else somewhere else.
No fault divorce.
Just regretting, regretting her decision to get into this covenant marriage.
All right, we can keep going. Maybe they're happy.
Giant digital billboard right over Ryan Seacrest's shoulder. It was like 20 billion people watching. It. Is that to all of our intolerant liberal friends, thank God.
It's like they did not do that, they did.
They went there.
Okay, stop, they went there, girlfriend. And we all remember, after liberals saw this vague and confusing billboard behind Ryan Seacrest in Manhattan, we all gave up completely, and the Conservatives had won. Every Jewish gay guy married their bossiest single girlfriend.
Barack Obama sent Lena Dunham to Gitmo. We all remember that.
Yeah, that happened.
When that happened?
Hillary agreed not to go to Wisconsin.
Oh, oh, time.
But that's too soon.
Jesus Christ Still too soon?
Still too soon. What did you want, Dan?
We stopped pretending to recycle.
After we saw that billboard, Disney released a short film where Woody and Buzz Lightyear bullied that boy from Luca until he went back to the sea.
Back to the sea with you no finding love on the land, you little Italian boy in this metaphor.
And that's okay, stop.
When we come back, Ohio Representative Amelia Sykes.
Joining us now is the representative for Ohio's 13th Congressional District, Congresswoman Amelia Sykes.
Thank you.
Ohio Democrats turned out, huh?
Yes, they did. What else did you expect, right?
I'm impressed.
I'm impressed, thank you so much for being here. It's great timing because you guys have a big election coming up in November.
No, hadn't heard of it.
Yeah, so for folks at home, can we start with issue one? Can you explain to folks on the podcast who might not know about issue one? About how important this vote is for abortion rights in the state of Ohio?
Absolutely, issue one is very simple. It is going to codify in our state's constitution the right for women to access abortion services in Ohio.
It's very simple, but but wait, there's more, there's more. Because not only will it say that people can access abortion services, that there is a constitutional right for birth control, for fertility treatment, for miscarriage care, all of the things that a person of reproductive age wants access to. So not only can we grow our families, start our families, we can survive in a state like Ohio that has one of the worst maternal mortality rates in the entire country.
So it's going to, we're going to win, but what happens if we don't? What are the stakes?
Well, if we don't win. And we are not speaking that to existence. Because as excited as this crowd is, that's what people feel like. All over the state. There has been a lot of confusion. There was an issue one in August, there's an issue one in November, August was no.
November is yes. The ballot board had some very strange language, they rewrote the language to be longer than the actual ballot language. Took out all of the meaningful pieces of information, so folks actually knew what the ballot language was going to do. And now we have our governor doing a press tour saying, Hey guys, don't worry. We'll put those exceptions in that we've been fighting against for the past 10 years. Just trust me.
And so we are, so we are not thinking of what's going to happen when this fails, because it cannot fail, it cannot fail. This is a must pass ballot initiative. And that's why you're seeing such excited, exuberant people all across the state, and really all across this country. Who wants to see a state like Ohio? Y'all, Ohio? Make sure that we are enshrining abortion rights and reproductive rights in our Constitution. So I'm excited.
You guys are excited too, right? We're not going to fail, we're not going to fail.
So I know that you've been working on maternal health issues for a very long time, not just in U.
S Congress. But here in Ohio, how big is this moment? Is this vote for that broader set of issues that you've dedicated your career to?
Well, they're very much one of each other. Because when you look at states that have abortion bans, like we have in Ohio. We have some of the highest maternal mortality rates. And that means people who have tried to get pregnant are looking forward to pregnancies, can't have them. And in addition to our maternal mortality rates being high, our infant mortality rates are high. So we're talking about devastation in families because folks aren't being able to access the care they need when they need it, how they need it. And while I think I'm pretty smart, I'm not the one that should be answering the questions as to when someone can have an abortion, can go to an emergency room, should be on a certain type of medication.
That's not my job. Unfortunately, many of my colleagues don't have that level of humility to understand. There are things that we do and do well, and there are some places we should not be a part of and decisions about reproductive health care. What's happening in doctor's offices is not a place where I should be and I don't want to be there.
I want you to be there, in the comfort with your loved ones, your physicians, your health care providers. But unfortunately, we're not getting that. So I am very worried about the maternal health crisis in Ohio, especially as a Black woman. Black women have some of the worst maternal death rates and morbidity rates in this state, in addition to the country. And we are constantly trying to convince our colleagues that this is a matter of life and death for us.
And you either have to care about us or you don't, and you let me know that you don't care about me. By supporting anti-abortion legislation. And if you're voting no on one, I know exactly what you think about women, you don't think anything about us.
You can tell I care about this a little bit, right? just a little bit.
I'm just going to air out that applause, that's good stuff. We were in Kentucky yesterday, bastion of liberalism, we were knocking doors with some amazing organizers from Planned Parenthood, we were in a very Catholic neighborhood.
And we talked to a couple of folks who were like, Listen, folks who looked like me in 30 years, right? Like people don't look like Democrats. We're like, Oh yeah, I'm pulling the lever straight ticket Democrat for the first time in my life. Because of abortion access. But the other thing that some of the organizers were talking about at the doors was the concern that birth control was next. You know, that they were coming after, you know, sort of all sorts of steps in the bedroom. Is that something that you're talking to voters about?
Is that a concern here?
Absolutely, but the biggest issue is freedom, the freedom to choose your own destiny and to have some dude someplace. Deciding what I can and cannot do, or this person deciding what you can, or you can, or you can or can I do? It's absurd. And so when I talk to people, I talk about freedom and the ability to make decisions for yourself.
And who is the person who is best situated to do it? It's obviously you. It's not the speaker of the House, it's not our governor, it's not our attorney general.
And it certainly is not our secretary of state, so why would we allow them the opportunity to make such important decisions? And we're not. And so when I say to you, we cannot lose, we're not going to lose, because we cannot lose. And I am repetitive in that way.
I used to be a cheerleader, so repetition is the key. You have to say it over and over again, that's how people remember.
I like it a lot, I like it a lot. Speaking of dudes who want to tell us all what to do, have you met the new speaker of the House, Mr. Mike Johnson?
No.
No one has met the guy.
No.
Like, did he just come out of nowhere for everybody?
Well, okay, so I am a first-term member of Congress, so that gives me a little bit of leeway. But when Susan Collins said, Maybe I have to google this dude and I can figure out who he is and how it can work. I mean, Geez, he's one of your people.
You could show him a little bit more love, but we are finding more about him, we're learning more about him, as we just saw in the previous segment. And I was very disappointed to see us just not do anything for weeks at a time.
We were supposed to be in our districts, working with our constituents, we had to cancel all these meetings and people were expecting us. And instead, we're in D..C. sitting around and just voting for people who don't have enough votes.
And who knew they weren't going to have enough votes to be speaker yet? And still, the people in our districts across the country were looking for us to show up, looking for us to be in meetings and talking about the work that we were doing. And then, next thing, you know, in the middle of the night, it seems like Mike Johnson gets the votes and the nod from Donald Trump. And now he's our speaker, and in the time that we've had to understand who he is. It's really disappointing, but not really shocking that we have a speaker of the House who wants to gut Social Security and Medicaid, who wants every state in the country to be a right to work? Who does not believe that there should be same-sex marriage and wants a total abortion ban?
And so when you ask me, why am I so optimistic about Issue 1, it's because I have to be. Because if someone like Mike Johnson is the speaker of the House and he is, he's going to push for a total abortion ban. And the only thing that is going to save us is us in Ohio, and that means Issue 1 must pass.
Yeah.
I mean, so we were in D..C. a couple weeks ago, we met, we did an event on the hill, got to meet some really amazing, exciting, inspiring new members of Congress.
We have a great class.
You guys are like, it's really an amazing group of people.
We have the best class ever.
Yeah, they're cool, they're fun, they're brilliant in all these different ways.
Can confirm?
But it was so funny being with you all because we were all kind of gossiping and trying to figure out what's coming up next and nobody knew. Everyone's just like checking Twitter, so can you just help everyone understand? Like there's no one in charge of the House of Representatives? What do the members do for, like, three weeks?
Well, we got really good at talking to one another about who are we following on Twitter to figure out where we would get the information from. And it was really interesting trying to see who is actually the reporter, the news person that was getting it right. And then we were trying to figure out who was the mole in the Republican conference.
Ooh, I love that.
Because there's someone who's giving them all the information. And one of the Jake Sherman, he was the guy, and it's like, who is calling Jake Sherman? It's like play by play, second by second, and he had more information than the people in the room.
So that was sort of one of the games we were playing, trying to figure out what was going on.
I was playing the same game, it was a great game.
Speaking of members of Congress who we may or may not know, do you know Dean Phillips? do we have any impression of him?
I am super excited that we have an administration that has done great things for this country, including this state. And if I could give a big shout out because we just got a tech hub in Akron, are you guys familiar with the tech hubs?
And no, I'm not going to answer your question, just in case you're wondering.
Perfect.
I'm going to take this opportunity to talk about what the administration has done for Ohio's 13th district. Because our community had researched and applied for a tech hub last year and was denied. And now we're going to have one, and it's all around polymer science, and listen, polymers are very cool.
Just trust me. So if you're ever wondering about plastics and polymers, come on to Ohio's 13th District. We'll tell you all about it. But what I'm most excited about is that we have an administration right now that is doing what we've asked them to do, that is supporting our workers.
That is trying to put more money in people's pockets. That is being thoughtful about women's rights, about diversity, about ensuring that everyone can live their American dream. And I think that people will see that come election time next year, we are a year out and it's hard to get people to focus on elections.
Even as we're trying to get to issue one, people are busy, they've got kids, they're trying to put food on their table. And it's easy right now to get caught up in the chaos of who is this? and what shiny object do we want to follow? I'm looking at the results.
And I'm looking at what we're getting in Ohio's 13th Congressional District, and I'm pleased to be supporting an administration. We'll be supporting an administration that will continue to deliver those results. I hope you do, too.
I like that.
So you're talking about workers in your state and support for them. I know you recently joined with a bunch of UAW workers on the picket line, you're out there showing solidarity. There's been some debate and some concern about whether rank and file union members feel like the Democratic Party is fighting for them. What did you come away with feeling like after that time on the picket line?
Well, that was not my first time on the picket line with UAW striking workers.
And I have to say it, did you all see that time when Marcy Kaptur said, Is this your first time? That won't be me, It was not my first time. So what we heard from workers several years ago when we were in Toledo is the same thing that we heard from folks a couple of weeks ago was. They've been working really hard.
They made a lot of people very rich and they just want to make sure that they are able to access the same ways and pathways to wealth. And being able to put food on their table. Folks across this country, folks across Ohio and my district, they are struggling and inflation is high, and we have to accept that to be a truth.
But we also have to recognize that there are pathways for folks to get what they need in order to survive, and unions, labor unions, are leading the way. I was so amazed as I talked to those workers and understood what they were sacrificing to be on strike. That they weren't getting the pay that they should have been getting to pay for food, gas, groceries, rent, mortgages. But they knew how important it was for them to stand up, not just for themselves, but for workers across the UAW, but not just members of unions members who may not be in unions. Thinking, why would I want to be a part of that? Well, you want to be a part of it. Because these are the people moving the conversation forward and making sure that you have your access to the American Dream.
So I left there probably more encouraged at their grit and their resilience and their willingness to be there. They probably did more for me than I did for them showing up there. And I am steadfast, wholeheartedly, always will be in solidarity with our unions, friends. Because they are truly the reason why people can have a good life in this country. They truly are, and we should support them every step of the way.
So bravo to UAW. Two out of three. They've got one more left and we'll be excited and be cheering them on when they do it.
All right.
Last question for you, we were talking in D..C. You're in a tough seat. It's basically a toss up. Presidential years can be challenging for Democrats in Ohio.
What's it going to take for you to win, for Sherrod Brown to win, for all the other statewide and local dems to win too? I'm not leaving anybody out. And how can people help out?
Absolutely so. First of all, it's going to take everyone in this audience to help us all win, and so we're relying on you. And let me thank you in advance for all that you have done and all that you're going to do. To make sure that we keep Sherrod Brown and the United States Senate, and we reelect myself, and Marcy Kaptur and Joyce Beatty, and Chantel Brown and Greg Lansman.
And so I'm in Ohio's only toss up congressional district, all the others are either safe D or likely D, and I'm in the only toss up district. And people often are really shocked to hear that because they assume, as a Black woman, I'm in a very D plus 40 district, but I'm not.
My district is an R Plus One district, and I won and outperformed President Biden's performance. I won by five points and I won because of people like you in the audience. I won because I went to the people and told them how I'm going to work for them.
And I showed them my record, and I'm going to continue to show them my record and say, I am earning your vote. I'm not just going to ask for it, I'm going to earn your vote. But I'm also going to ask you to make a donation because it's really expensive.
My race was 21 million dollars. did you 21 million? Yes, yes.
Let's all be appalled with, first of all, how much elections cost and that this race was 21 million dollars. And so the Republicans have already started attacking me. They've stopped for a little bit because I think they were trying to get their act together, but now that they're back, I expect to see them soon.
So visit Amelia Sykes for Congress forCongress.
Com. Please make a donation if you can. Make sure that we push back against these MAGA extremists and win in a district where they don't expect us to, we can do it again.
All right.
Well, folks, listen, some really good members of Congress out there, there's very few great ones, so please make a donation. Help out. Congressman Amelia Sykes, Thank you so much for being here.
Thank you for coming.
There are just 78 days to go until the Iowa caucuses and one week until the Republican debate in Miami. And it looks like it'll be down to Ron DeSantis, Nikki, Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie and just today. Tim Scott said he finally qualified.
Yeah, my guy.
There you go.
Mike, Thank you so much for being here. Mike Pence has dropped out.
Oh, mother.
Just he decided he'd rather hang at home.
He just couldn't hang. Ah, he beat me, beat me, uh, and the.
Yikes.
He suspended his campaign from What?
Boo.
And the party's criminal. It was really neck and neck.
Okay.
Wow.
And the party's criminal defendant frontrunner is skipping yet again because of his huge lead in all the polls. That's undoubtedly due to performances like this.
I mean, they're not doing well, they're not being treated, and they are they are right now at a level I think we're going to get, so we're 28..
You know, the same people that attacked Israel are coming into our country too. And did you ever notice? Somebody said the other day, some fool on CNN said, Oh, isn't that nice? They're all nice young men, they have young men, 23, 24, 22 years old.
Strong, they like nice young men. There's something going on, there's something going on, it's not a good thing.
They have a lot of young men, young, strong men. I don't want to insult the women, but they're young, strong men. Even though, as you know, they want men to play in women's sports. You know that we're not going to allow that.
We're not allowing that. I want to do that too, I'm an extraordinary athlete, I want to play and I apologize for those lights.
The only place I don't have a light is up here, so that means we're going to have to wig it tonight.
OK, there's no light.
They give us plenty of lights, but not to read this crap.
Look, they write a beautiful.
They wrote me a beautiful speech. I might as well throw it right out that window.
And that's that's tough for the speechwriters. I will tell you, that hurts.
When did you get into the game?
Where does that voice come from?
Nice young men.
Strong, strong young sexy men.
It's like he clicked over to the wrong PornHub side.
It's like, put that, just put that in ad.
What is that guy, weird dude?
All right, Alyssa, the the field is narrowing. But so far, the polls are not. Though, by the time people listen to the show, there will be a new Des Moines register poll that could render all of our takes meaningless.
Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa slow down.
I know what, you got a message waiting tomorrow morning at 6 a.
M We're going to get a poll.
These takes you can either eat them tonight or their banana bread tomorrow.
But Alyssa, do you? We haven't talked about this. Do you see anything brewing that could change the dynamic and the Republican primary over the next 78 days?
You guys.
So, you know, you talk about the polar coaster and everything, but I did a little polling deep dive in preparation for today. So there was a new 538. Is that what it's called? Five thirty? yeah.
Yeah, five thirty eight. Poll Trump 56.9 to Santas 14, Haley 8, Ramaswamy 5.8. OK, so you want to hear my take?
Fyi Tim Scott's at two in that poll.
I stopped writing them down below five.
Smart.
OK, so here's my vibe.
He's, like, in pretty good shape, except, except there's been things that have happened in the past couple of weeks. One particularly delicious development that I've enjoyed. So one, we got a little Jenna Ellis white lady tears, Right? OK, then you've got Sidney Powell, you've got Ken Chesbrough, or, as I like to call them, all star witnesses.
So like, it's possible that they've got the goods on him, Oh yeah, like it's possible. The best part, the most delicious nugget for anyone who missed it. Ivanka has been ordered to testify in the New York Civil Fraud trial.
I am not going to lie.
Under oath. Do you love your father?
I love this so much.
Under oath. Is your father ever told you he loved you?
Yeah, yeah, there you go, dad.
Eww, Pfeiffer Too much. Um, so, you know, I think there are a lot of things that could happen in court. I mean, like, they are moving. Like when Fannie Willis filed these charges, everyone was like, there is no way she's going to be able to flip people this fast. Seems that she could.
So I don't know, we'll see what happens. I really think that that is the only potential that could upend him from being the Republican nominee. God help us all. But yeah, that's my hot take.
That's it.
I just wonder if it'll happen in time.
Because, I mean, that's the whole thing. But, like, Sidney, Powell cut a deal in like a week.
Yeah.
You know, Jenna Ellis, I mean, she was like, one and done. She's like, I'll take probation, I'll testify as needed, and I will do community service. Like this is what I have to imagine is, like, real.
Like, these people are getting away with actual kind of murder.
You know, like it's standing in the middle of Fifth Avenue thing. Jenna Ellis crying, crying.
I should have asked more questions of Ruli Giuliani. Yes, you should have, but like, she got community service and like, a $5,000 fine, so like.
Must have given something good.
I mean, look, unless law and order, after all these years, has let me down, I gotta assume.
She gave something good.
Well, so obviously you can't beat something with nothing, so someone has to beat Donald Trump if he is somehow weakened between now and Iowa. Dan, Here's the top Politico headline today. I know you're excited about this. The rise is real.
That's in quotations. Haley's breakout is jolting. 2024 is undercard race. Are you feeling the jolt?
Look, John, who isn't riveted by the ups and downs, the moving and shaking, and the riveting race for distant second Donald Trump.
I mean, the whole thing is stupid. She's not even in second place yet, she's in third place.
That's a pretty confident statement.
I'm just giving you the national polls. I think there is a this is the important caveat here. There is a chance that the Des Moines register poll will come out that will show her in a distant second to Donald Trump.
I just want to make sure you got on the record, I'm trying to save you.
If there is some prize for second place in the Republican primary, which Rhonda Santos and Nikki Haley seem very convinced, there is, do you get like, half the pie? I mean, whatever it is, she is well positioned to have a shot to possibly come in second. I think we should all pay a lot of attention to that.
Do you think it's because she said she would never compliment Hezbollah?
Honestly, that story in Politico was so goddamn stupid that I've been stewing about it since you sent it to me this morning.
It was the headline.
It was the full page of Politico.
It is just a reminder that we do not need minute by minute coverage of a largely boring campaign. I know, and it's like we haven't had any arguments for two days a week.
That's all you need.
Yeah, you know what I would say, an hour and 15 minutes twice a week is fucking pitch perfect.
We've been talking about Gaza and the speaker's race for so long now. We actually haven't covered the GOP primary in a while, partly because there's nothing much to cover.
There's a reason, because there's nothing to cover, yeah.
I know.
But in the story, they're like, one of the reasons people are moving to Nikki Haley is that the attention is turned to foreign policy and she has a foreign policy background. Do we think that's what's happening?
No, no, I don't.
Tommy Ron DeSantis new line is that Trump is only leading because he has 100 name ID. And Trump's super PAC apparently just went up in the air in Iowa with an ad attacking Desantis. Do you think it's hard to say this with all the straight face? Do you think that he's still a threat to Donald Trump or are they just looking to humiliate him at this point?
I mean, both we're. We were raised in a normal political world where you don't punch down. The sort of early phases of the campaign are kind of nicer, and it's lots of like, oblique shots on policy, right? Trump just got into the campaign in 2016 and started pummeling anyone he perceived as a threat. And I was watching his speech in Nevada, where he was bragging to this audience for an hour and 10 minutes that he does not play. Prevent defense.
Prevent defense for you non-football fans, is when you drop back all your defensive backs so you won't give up a touchdown.
Why are you looking at me?
We're gonna love it, but you're willing to give up some kind of short yardage. Trump does not play prevent defense, right? He is smash mouth football, he's blitzing, he's killing the quarterback.
So I think like he just likes kicking the shit out of Ron Desantis. Remember when he who doesn't?
When DESantis got in the race-.
Agree with Trump?
Remember when Desantis got in the race and Trump was, like, openly deciding which nickname he was gonna use, like, Should I use Desantis, should I call him meatball? And these conservative-?
Tiny D Anyone remember Tiny D?
Tiny D.
Desanctimonious desantis. At one point, he just like, gave up. He's like, I'll call him whatever the fuck I want, he's not gonna win.
And these conservative commentators like Mark Levin were like, Oh, I hope he doesn't do that. It's gonna offend a lot of conservatives. What happened? Trump skyrocketed like 50 in all these polls and Desantis tanked. So I think he both loves what he's doing.
When it's your, you know, when you love what you're doing. It's not a job, but it's also it's effective politics.
It's also like DESantis coming out with a new rationale for why he's losing is actually why he's losing, underneath why he's losing. Which is because he's the kind of person that thinks that's a good idea, like Ron DESantis. Actually, what is most interesting about Ron DeSantis as a candidate is one thing he successfully did is introduce himself to the United States of America. He actually is way better known than he has any right to be going after Disney, becoming the fucking woke police. Having that personality, it really connected, and and unfortunately, it connected in a really bad way.
The United States is aware of Ron DeSantis and they say, No, thank you. Donald Trump isn't. Donald Trump isn't just winning against people who haven't heard of Ron DeSantis. People who are Republican primary voters are aware of Ron DeSantis. They've given him a good look, they've said, What's going on in those boots, sir?
You're I'll, you know, that is, you're wearing a five 10 suit, you got five seven energy.
The theme of the swing.
Just to put some numbers on this.
I just did that, Dan.
Is that? Ron? DESantis is trailing by 45 points in the polls, and his approval rating is about his ID His name ID is about five points less than Trump's.
Jesus Christ.
So that doesn't work that well for him, that excuse.
So the minority of Republicans who don't want Trump as the nominee. Some of them are in the consultant class because they've run elections and some politicians as well. They're starting to say that it is time for all the other candidates to drop out, just like Pence did. So this can become a one-on-one contest. Love it. Do you think it's a quitting time for your friends? Chris, Christie and Tim Scott? Another?
Look, obviously the conversations I have with Chris.
Are between us and I'm going to leave. That's my counsel to him. Tim Scott should drop out.
But the problem with this is, look sure, we know the field great. But there's this idea that the people not currently. That all the people supporting Tim Scott, all the people, all the people, all the person supporting Tim Scott, that Doug Durden and his wife. That. The idea is that these votes are going to all kind of go to the Trump alternative.
A lot of them are going to go to Trump, you look at some of the polling if you ask. If you do the whole field, you'll end up with Trump in the high 40s and dESantis way below, and the rest of them getting their single digits. If you just do say Trump and desantis, Trump goes above 50, so sure, yeah.
Consolidate great try it no bad ideas in a brainstorm.
There is this, you know, this is silly to talk about because it's coming out after we post this show. But this Des Moines Register poll will be interesting because the last one, the des Moines Register polls in Iowa, are the best in the business. By far, it's a woman named Ann Seltzer who's like, the best pollster there is for the state. Maybe the country and her previous polls have showed like a 28 Trump or die, like I will vote Trump or nobody vote. I'll be very interested to see if that number has moved and there still is the potential for someone to consolidate the other voters.
Cause, I look, I agree with you love. It's like, probably a lost cause. And these folks aren't going to do the right thing and drop out and allow the vote to consolidate. But it will be interesting to see if that's even an option anymore.
I mean, it seems pretty clear from this conversation where everyone stands here just for fun. Would anyone like to make an argument that one of these goobers might beat Donald Trump in Iowa, New Hampshire? Let's lay out the fantasy scenario, anyone?
Sure.
Okay.
I mean, we're never going to know. Cause these, these are terrible candidates run, whose campaigns run by idiots like they don't seem to want to to want to win. And they are. Most of them are now. Honestly, with all seriousness, they're not trying to beat Donald Trump, they're trying to be vice president to Donald Trump, they're trying to maintain whatever role. The reason that?
I don't think I would say, I don't think Haley is.
I think, I think a hundred percent, Haley.
She's, she's now gone. It's so funny. There's this like line, right? There's the red line for how much. You subtly attack Donald Trump, and then if you go over and you like, directly attack. She's like, now pretty close to, I think he's very upset with her.
And he may be. Maybe she won't get it, but it is. What people are trying to navigate now is they're not trying to win, they're trying to manage their loss in a MAGA dominated Republican party. Are they going to be the vice president? are they going to be someone who is still a member in good standing of that party? To run again in 2028? Whether Trump wins or loses, because he can't run for reelection. And so that is why the attack ads on the air are not any of these fucking idiots attacking Donald Trump.
They're attacking each other. DeSantis and Haley have ads on the air attacking each other because they want to split up that 24 between the two of them. Like, what are they doing? Like, there is a way to try to do this, there is a way to actually do it.
It requires the field to window to one person, and that person is probably Nikki Haley among this group. Because Ron DeSantis has the political skills and charisma of a banana slug, and we should not count on him to do it.
What's a banana slug?
He's not that guy.
It's like a little Ron DeSantis, it's like, um, it's like it moves on the ground.
And so what you would have to do is you would have to consolidate it, you would have to. Then you're one on one, you have to beat him in Iowa and then you have to beat him in New Hampshire.
There is no skip Iowa, go to New Hampshire because you're going to get clobbered in South Carolina. And the thing about Trump is he's never lost, and even the he did according to all the voters, according to the voters, he didn't.
Lose in 2020.
Where were you on January 6th?
Dan took a shit in Pelosi's office.
That's a heel turn.
And so what you would do is, if you wanted to actually try to beat Trump, it's one person they tried to beat him. In Iowa. They make an explicit case at evangelical Christians in Iowa that Trump is not the person who can carry what they want. Who will not win, who will be chaotic? You would take all that insane shit that most voters, even Iowa Caucus voters, are not seeing. You put it, because Fox has actually not covered Trump, like we think they cover Trump.
They do not put his bad moments on air because you take those bad moments.
No one does anymore, by the way. Like, I don't see that, like the stuff that we showed, like there's there's like five Twitter accounts that have all those clips like you don't see them. On CNN. The right wing media has cancelled Trump.
Yeah, they cancelled him. It's outrageous.
We know he's being shadow banned by Fox. But I think my point here is that the odds are that Trump still wins in that, but there is a theoretical path to getting it done. But I don't think any of these candidates, and certainly the people who work for them, are up to it. Because they are not playing to win, they're playing to manage their loss.
I think, I think, yeah, you're right, that Haley is the closest. And again, like, I did not have high hopes for her when she started, so I was, I'm already wrong, like she's gone farther than I thought she would. But like, I looked at the last des Moines register poll.
It was Trump. 42, Desantis 19, Scott 9, Haley 6, Pence 6, Christie 5, Vivek 4, Burgum 2,,.
Wilherd 1. Not with us anymore.
Seven points up for grabs.
That's margin of error.
Yeah, not sure. 5, right? So if Haley in this next poll? Just for fun? If she took all of Pence's support. Scott's, Christie's, Burgum's, Herd's, and like half of DESantis's, she still wouldn't beat Trump. But she'd be close, she'd be within striking distance.
I think the thing about that, Matt, So I think two things, I think one to Dan's point. Like, I actually think the most important thing is what's going to happen with DESantis, right? Like, whether Scott drops out or Christie drops out, there's just not enough happening there. Like, does DESantis view it as in his interest to go through with this farce any further? Or do you see some equity in getting out and getting behind?
Or getting behind Haley seems inconceivable, getting behind Trump seems inconceivable, who knows? But just getting out to not put himself through the auger of this fucking defeat he's about to experience. That leaves some space for Haley to get higher in the polls.
She doesn't need to in the next round of polls or the round of polls after that, she doesn't need to be beating Trump.
She doesn't need to be beating the other guys, you know? And then the conversation can change. If Trump shows some weakness because of exogenous forces like the judge in New York taking all his money or him getting thrown in jail for contempt.
I also think, like, I think the scenario where this works is again, real long shot here. Everything that Alyssa was saying about, like all of his legal woes, suddenly like bubble up a lot, he says. Some crazy shit. Joe Biden's approval rating would have to, like, start creeping up because then electability might start becoming a concern for Republicans again.
Right now, part of the problem is it's like, Well, if Nikki Haley's argument is I'm the one who can beat Joe Biden. But also Donald Trump is beating Joe Biden in some polls, or at least tied with him in polls. Then, like, why wouldn't you just take Donald Trump, you know? But if Joe Biden's approval rating started coming up, then Nikki Haley, of all these people, is probably the best position. Because if she can somehow beat him in Iowa, which again then goes to New Hampshire and can beat him in New Hampshire, then. Unlike any of these other candidates, she's positioned really well in South Carolina, right?
So then, like, then you have a thing, but like, again, that's pretty far away.
Trump has never faced a real primary loss because even though he lost Iowa, it was so confusing. It wasn't announced for a long period of time. It was wrapped up in allegations that Ted Cruz ran these robocalls to convince people not to vote. And so then he went to New Hampshire and he had a huge victory, South Carolina, he's victory, was off to the races.
And so a candidate who depends on inevitability. And that is a big part of what has been part of Trump's rise over the last year is the people have seen. He might as well get on board because he's going to win if you shatter the myth of inevitability.
Everyone freaks out.
Something is possible.
Yeah.
Right, whether Nikki Haley might be someone who would be well positioned in hypothetical general election polls against Biden to seem as electable or more electable than Trump? Because Trump will seem weak if he loses, and there's a huge, unexpected loss in Iowa.
Yeah, that's right. Well, we'll see.
The first woman president cannot be a Republican.
Dear God, No.
Not making any predictions, but I would not.
I'm just putting it out there.
Okay, when we come back. The executive director of Pro-Choice Ohio, Kelly Copeland.
A critical fight for abortion rights, and you guys know, I love to talk about abortion, is playing out right here in Ohio, where voters will decide if they want to enshrine abortion rights into the state constitution. Here to talk about abortion rights and combating Republican extremism. My hero, an icon, Executive director of Pro-Choice Ohio, Kelly Copeland Kelly, thank you for coming on the pod.
Thank you.
O-h.
That's what I'm talking about.
Exactly, okay. So not only is she my icon for all of the work she has done for 20 years.
21.
21.
But I heard you're also a cat lady.
Oh my God, just give me the chance to talk about my cat, his grace.
Okay, and I'm just saying, it's National Cat Day, so it is kismet that we are here together. Of course, all right, Kelly. So for anyone who doesn't know what's the state of abortion care access in Ohio right now, is it correct that y'all still have a six-week ban? But the courts have blocked enforcement for now.
What is the latest?
Yes, that is correct, and what we mean by for now is that days, even hours after the election on November 7th, the state Supreme Court could rule against us, and they could put the six-week ban into effect. I mean, if we don't pass Issue 1, they will move to put that six-week ban back into effect. As it was for 82 days last year, except this time, it'll be permanent.
I know it's a bummer, I'm sorry to bring you down.
We're here for real talk. Okay, this isn't just like a tiptoe through the tulips. Okay? Anti-abortion officials purposely made this whole process as confusing as possible. Erin and I covered it a lot on hysteria. There was an August special election where Republicans tried their fuckery to change the rules of the ballot initiatives altogether.
Republicans come out of the woodwork in August. It is, they did it in Kansas, they did it in Ohio, but you prevailed.
Yeah, y'all beat their ass.
So now that failed, now there's another vote on the actual Issue 1 initiative. Let's settle this once and for all. What do Ohioans need to know about Issue 1??
Well, first of all, it's a yes on Issue 1 in November.
It was a No in August. Don't get it confused, but you know, I think you bring up such an important point. Because our opponents have used and leveraged the full force of the state government against you, against all of us. Our taxpayer dollars, they spent $20 million on that special election in August, taxpayer dollars. They have messed with the system every step of the way.
The AG has put out legal opinions, their campaign propaganda, the state Senate has done the same thing. The attorney general made a summary of the amendment that is filled with bogus information. And they're doing all of this because they've had 50 years, 50 years since Roe v. Wade. To make the case that their agenda to outlaw all abortion in all circumstances is what we should do.
And they have failed, and so that is why they have to do all of this unscrupulous, frankly legalized cheating to try to subvert your vote. Because the vast majority of Ohioans and the vast majority of Americans believe that we should make our own reproductive health care decisions, and not the government. But these extremists who have taken over Ohio through gerrymandering and through so many other unscrupulous practices, they don't care, they don't want to represent us.
Like my congresswoman, Amelia Sykes, they want to rule us, and we're not going to let them. Are we?
Hell, no.
Speaking of unscrupulous, so I went down the rabbit hole. I've been trying to learn for months, everything I can learn about Ohio. And I know I'm going to bring up something that we hate to talk about, but we have to talk about. People have been saying that the amendment would bring back partial birth abortions, which haven't been legal in 15 years.
Can you please explain to us what voting yes on issue one would actually do?
Voting yes on issue one would protect access to abortion when it's needed for health care reasons. It would make sure that no. Ohioan has to worry that they won't get access to care when their life is in jeopardy, it makes sure. But it also has the language that says that there can be restrictions after the point of viability, but those restrictions can't be the ones that our opponents want. What our opponents want is that when people experience a pregnancy complication.
And think about it, we're talking about very wanted, planned pregnancies, where someone gets the worst news, where maybe they've already picked out a name. And our opponents are so heartless that they want to tell those people too bad, too bad if you die.
Too bad if you can't make the decisions that are best for you and your family, too bad. And, you know, the most serious consequence of issue one failing and the one that I'm scared the most about is, you know? When it was in effect, the six-week ban for 82 days, there was an incredible safety net. With abortion funds in Ohio and abortion clinics and activists, maybe many of you, where we were able to provide financial and logistical support to get people out, get people care in other states. But if you're sick, you may not be able to travel.
You may not be able to get to Pittsburgh or Detroit or Chicago. And that is the thing that has been most terrifying. It was the most terrifying thing during the 82 days that the six-week ban was in effect. And it's the most terrifying thing about the possibility of not passing issue one. And it's, frankly, the thing I worry about most for my kids.
They're young women in their 20s. And even with all the connections and all the resources I have, I'm so scared. That if when they, when it's their time to plan a family, if they decide to be pregnant in the state of Ohio, that they'll get the care they need. That's why all of us have to work night and day to make sure that not only that doesn't happen to people, but that every pregnant person doesn't have to be afraid. People came up to me all during those 82 days talking about how they were so scared. They were scared that they wouldn't get the care they need. They were scared that they might die.
That is what they're trying to do to us. That's how little they care about us, and that's how much we have to fight and love each other. That's why we have to pass issue one.
And to your point, Kelly, that is not hyperbole. What's happening in Texas? The women who have been forced to go into sepsis because doctors didn't want to put their careers on the line to be able to provide abortion care. This is real and this, this is not dramatic, this is not propaganda.
This is happening across the country, where abortion has been outlawed.
Yeah, in Ohio, during those 82 days, women who were experiencing miscarriages were sometimes sent away from hospitals even though they were bleeding, bleeding heavily. Filling up, forgive me, one diaper after another with blood. And they were turned away because the hospitals and the doctors were worried that they would be criminalized if they help these patients. That should never happen. I mean, Cleveland is a medical destination.
With the Cleveland Clinic, people come from all over the globe to Cleveland. How could we possibly let them do this to us?
We won't.
No, we won't.
So there has been an interesting thing. The tactic of changing the ballot initiative process was both shady and quite extreme. And now those who oppose issue one are spreading misinformation and lying about what the ballot initiative does. Can you give us some examples of this bad faith fuckery?
I mean, they want parents to be afraid that they're going to be able to access health care without them. That they'll be able to, you know, change the physicality of their gender and their sex. They just have made up all of these wild things. And I always think to myself, why are you picking on kids? why are you picking on children who need access to health care? why are you lying to parents?
We know that parents who had underage daughters who needed an abortion during those 82 days had to take them out of state. What kind of parental rights is that?
I mean, issue one will strengthen parental rights because parents will be able to get their daughters that abortion care and other health care they need here at home. As it should be.
So, a majority of Americans support abortion, access to abortion.
Like, eight out of ten.
Like, a lot.
Like, a lot, a lot.
So why are Republicans so obsessed with our bodies, even though it is a losing issue for them at the ballot box?
You know, I've been trying to figure that out.
It's hard, it makes no sense.
Well, I mean, that's, you know. I have a deputy director, Jamie Miracle, and she and I have done this work together for 21 years, and she's our lobbyist. Yes, Jamie Miracle.
And when she's very scientific, and she's very thoughtful and smart and educated, and she goes into the Statehouse with facts, she's gone into the Statehouse with. I mean, we were just talking backstage. We have brought hundreds of abortion storytellers and doctors to the Statehouse. We've been fighting this six-week ban since 2011, this is 13 years that we've fought this fight.
We were the first state in Ohio. And the one thing I know about our opponents is they don't give a shit about us. And they don't give a shit about the facts. Because they had it all. You know, when Governor DeWine, you know, he's out here, going well, you know, we'll find some other path. It's, you know, it's don't worry, trust us.
Baloney, He knows. We've had hundreds of people come testify at the Statehouse. We have had thousands, 700,000 people sign the petition to put this on the ballot. Ohioans don't trust you, Governor DeWine.
And you've given us reason not to. They don't listen to us, they don't care about us, and I don't understand why they're such a bunch of bastards. I really don't.
That's a vibe.
Okay, I want to dig a little deeper, even more. The campaign, opposing Issue 1 Protect Women, Ohio, recently said that the effort....
I don't need protection from you.
Thank you.
No, thank you.
They recently said that the effort to get this amendment on the ballot is anti-parent. We've seen the right more and more try to embrace being the party of parents to justify taking away abortion rights. Censoring what kids read and hate on the LGBTQ community. What does this bill actually mean for parents and families, and how do we combat pro-parent messaging?
Well, how many of us are parents?
Those are the facts.
Parents and parenthood should be the decision that you make, not the decision the government makes. I mean, that is the bottom line, who decides, is it you and your family, or is it the government? Is it Mike DeWine?
Is it Frank Larose? Is it any one of those scumbags? I mean, when we're talking about parental rights, we're talking about the right to live our lives our own way and not have the government tell us how to live our lives. I mean, Issue 1 opponents are anti-parents rights.
They want to take away your ability to make decisions with your family, They want to, as was those 82 days. they want to make all the decisions for you. That's why parents had to flee the state with their children who needed access to abortion. How are they somehow the standard bearer for parental rights when they forced families to go through that?
Amen.
This important vote has captured the nation's attention, especially as abortion rights prove to be a critical issue in every election since. Dobbs even. I just need to say, even in New York State where I live. The Equal Rights Amendment will be on the ballot in 2024. Because if a Republican wins, if Donald Trump wins. And a national abortion ban were to take place, even New York would need the Equal Rights Amendment to protect women in New York State. So, that said, what lessons should those watching across the country learn from how you've organized around Issue 1??
That this is a grassroots movement, that this is a movement fueled by love. You know, when we dropped off those 420 boxes filled with 700,000 signatures to get on the ballot? The one thing I was so overwhelmed by was the love, the love that so many people put into this work. This is a work of love and community compassion.
This is a grassroots effort. This is something that whether you're a Democrat or an independent, or even a Republican, this could affect you and your family. This is bigger than politics. This is a deeply personal situation, it's something that affects generations.
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