Humans in Eight Plagues with Prof. Jon Kennedy

2023-08-22 00:52:22

Wellness isn’t just about mindfulness, exercise, or the right skin routine. Science, politics, media, culture, tech — everything around us — interact to shape our health. On America Dissected, Dr. Abdul El-Sayed cuts into what really makes us sick — be it racism, corporate greed, or snake oil influencers — and what it'll take to heal it. From for-profit healthcare to ineffective sunscreens, America Dissected cuts deeper into the state of health in America. New episodes every Tuesday. Want to know where to start? Here are some fan-favorite episodes to search: Cannabis Capitalism with David Jernigan Weight Weight Don’t Tell me with Harriett Brown Black Scientists Matter with Dr. Kizzmekia Corbett.

2Speaker 2
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Healthcare CEO has made a collective $4 billion in 2022. COVID cases are up 20% over the last

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two weeks. A three-judge appeals court upholds severe limitations on Mifid-Pristone access

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as the Supreme Court is set to weigh in. This is America Dissected. I'm your host, Dr. Abdul El-Sayed.

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Let me start with the obvious. Neither you or I died of an infectious disease. After all, I wouldn't

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be hosting this, and you wouldn't be listening to it if we hadn't. Now think about your siblings.

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Chances are, none of them died of an infectious disease either.

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In fact, the first time you probably really had to think about the risk of getting sick

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and you or a family member dying of an infectious disease was at the peak of COVID.

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And even then, the risks were historically low. What do I mean by that? I mean that for most of

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human history, death by infectious disease was by far the highest probability outcome for you or a

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loved one. And it wasn't just after a long, healthy life. It was an omnipresent risk from the day our

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ancestors were born. It's taken literally hundreds of thousands of years to create the circumstances

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where for the first time in human history, a few of us, those of us with enough money and societies

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with enough money, get to live life without the ever-present fear of some tiny microbe we didn't

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even know existed destroying us. But that didn't happen by accident. It happened because of the

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millions of people who died prematurely before us. The millions of lives pocked and fevered and

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pained that inspired millions that came after them to dedicate their lives to figuring out why it

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happened and what we could do about it. It also took us instantiating what we learned into political

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movements that built policies and procedures and infrastructure to make that possible. Think water

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purification that guaranteed you didn't drink water that someone else used for, well, other purposes

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before you. Or modern HVAC systems that can purify air at scale. Or workplace safety regulations that

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protect you from crowded, hazardous, pestilent conditions. Or restaurants and food inspections

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or vaccines. All of these things have all conspired to render infectious diseases that have killed

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legions of our ancestors but in afterthought. But in this process, they've also rendered themselves,

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all of those critical tools of public health, in afterthought too. And here's the thing about it.

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Because we take for granted that infectious diseases are not a major concern in most of our

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lives, we also take for granted the reasons why we get to take them for granted. We discount all

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of those policies and procedures and infrastructures as the remnants of a bygone era and we tear them

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down. From the anti-vaxxer movement to broader efforts to defund and dismantle public health

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units across the country, we're at risk of undoing the investments that our ancestors and millions of

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people living in less wealthy societies could only dream of. What's that quote about history?

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Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it. If COVID proved anything, it's exactly that.

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We'd ripped a lot of the guts out of America's public health infrastructure during the decade

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leading up to the pandemic. An era where the greed of big banks ultimately led to the stripping of so

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much of America's public infrastructure. And when the pandemic did hit us, the edifice of the

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infrastructure we should have been able to rely upon was simply not up to the task. Over a million

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Americans died, more per capita than most of our peers around the world. And it's because we'd

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forgotten our history. So today, I want us to remember. As I thought about the subject, I came

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upon an innovative new book that encourages us to do exactly that. In his new book, Pathogenesis,

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sociologist John Kennedy tells the history of humanity from a different viewpoint. From the

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view of the microbes that we too often forget. From the history of the first homo sapiens, the

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bubonic plague of the middle ages, to the role of pestilence in our sordid history of colonialism

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and enslavement to the present time. John traces just how important infectious diseases have been

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to the history of our species, and just how unlikely our current present really is. So I

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invited him to come on and share more on the show. Here's my conversation with Professor John Kennedy.

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All right, my friend, you ready to go? Ready when you are. Ready when you are. All right, can you

1Speaker 1
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introduce yourself for the tape? Yeah, my name is Jonathan Kennedy. Dr. Jonathan Kennedy. I'm a

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reader in politics and global public health at Queen Mary University of London. And reader is

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a kind of, I guess, a British eccentricity. It's somewhere between associate and full professor

2Speaker 2
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in the US system, I believe. Yeah, so I went to grad school in the UK and I was always,

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I always really appreciated the way that British titles and action verbs underplay the thing that

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is being done. So, you know, in the UK, you stand for public office, in the US we run for public

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office. And in the UK, you all are readers, where we're here, we just go on with profess.

1Speaker 1
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Yeah, I hope I do more than read. I've been writing a bit the last few years as well,

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which we'll talk about during the podcast. But yeah, it's a very funny title, really.

2Speaker 2
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But well, that's the reason we have you on is because you've been doing quite a bit of writing

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and you've written this really fascinating book. Tell us why you wrote a book characterizing

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the history of humanity in terms of the tiny little microorganisms we can't see that we carry

1Speaker 1
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around and spread to one another. Yeah, well, I mean, I guess my interest began because I,

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I'm by background, a historian and a sociologist. And, you know, they focus so much on the role of

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humans, whether it's, you know, kind of great men from Jesus all the way to Washington and Napoleon,

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or classes struggling against one another. These are seen as the kind of driving forces of history.

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And then, you know, a couple of years ago, during the pandemic, I was sat at home, my wife had just

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had a baby. So I didn't want to go out and, and contract the virus. And all around me, there was

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this kind of death and disruption that, you know, would have been unimaginable a few, a few months

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before. And it got me thinking, you know, what, what's going on, you know, we think that as a,

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as a species, we're so intelligent, you know, it's kind of intrinsic in the name that we give

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ourselves homo sapiens, wise humans, but we've been kind of were laid by these tiny, tiny

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microscopic organisms that are so small, we can't even even see. And it got me thinking, and I

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started to look back through history at some of the great transformations, everything from

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the extinction of Neanderthals 50,000 years ago, all the way up to the Industrial Revolution and

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the emergence of a welfare state in Europe. And you see that time and time again, in many of the

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great political, economic, social transformations in the past, microbes, viruses, bacteria, other

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kinds of microbes have played a really, really important, important role. And it got me thinking

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that, you know, in many ways, human history has been made not by men and women, but by by microbes.

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And then I started looking into the science of microbes. And as a lay person, I found

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all sorts of really fascinating factoids. So one, for example, is a study that was undertaken a

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couple of years ago, by some scientists in Belgium. And basically, they wanted to

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look at the genome, so the DNA of the bacteria in our stomachs. And so they basically went through

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the feces of about 2000 Belgians, so a pretty mucky job rather than than me. But what they

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found was really, really mind blowing. Something like 90% of these bacteria were capable of

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producing neurotransmitters. So chemical messengers, like serotonin and dopamine,

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that influence human moods. And this is really bizarre, because bacteria aren't capable of doing

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this outside of human or animals bodies. So they've evolved over hundreds of 1000s, even millions of

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years to, it seems communicate with, with their hosts. And we don't really know why. But one,

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one theory is that if we have serotonin and dopamine coursing through our brains,

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then we are more likely to go out to socialise to be gregarious, and to provide opportunities for

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these bacteria to jump from us to to other other hosts. But I guess kind of as someone with a

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background in sociology, I found this fascinating, because we think of we think of ourselves as

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as kind of sovereign, sovereign beings in charge of our own, our own brains, at least,

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even if there are other forces on us. And this study suggests that, you know, that's not even

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the even the case, you know, we have these, these bacteria inside us that are that are really kind

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of influencing our moods and influence in the way that we that we think. So I was wondering if

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they have this impact on us as individuals, what roles they play in the body political,

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the body social, the body economic. So it was really this kind of attempt to unify

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kind of science and, and history, and in particular, microbiology and sociology

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and history that really, really got me fascinated in the in the topic.

2Speaker 2
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That's really, really quite fascinating, you know, so much of the social sciences is about

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trying to ascertain the power of forces that are so ubiquitous that we often don't see them,

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you know, you think about economics, and the role that either the macro or the micro cannot

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economy played incentivizing certain behavior, you think about even, you know, this, this sort

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of emerging field of climate sociology in the ways that are very, increasingly bleak, climate patterns

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shape where people go. And what's fascinating is we all walk around carrying literally billions

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of other beings inside and on us. And this is the first attempt I've I've really seen of somebody

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trying to ask, Okay, what are the implications of what those beings want? Right? Because usually,

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if something's happening, because of another being, it's because that being is hungry or

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wants to procreate, right? Those are the two main driving incentives of, of another being.

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And you can imagine when there are billions of them, even if they're tiny, and not particularly

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capable, over time, their ability to swarm can be overwhelming. And, you know, if it,

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the sort of profound implication of that is, if you don't believe it, think about what happens

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after somebody dies, it's like those beings take over, and you are turned into dust, right? And so

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it's a really compelling viewpoint. Now, I really appreciated how you broke the the various moments

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of history that, you know, we'll call them great men historians tend to tell down into a set of

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canonical events, or microbiological events that happened. And I kind of want to walk through some

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of them here to give folks a taste of the set of arguments that you're making. One of the most

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profound for me was at the very front of the book, your argument is that, like the very existence of

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Homo sapiens, in the singular species, united species that we are right now, is likely a

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function of a set of diseases that we carried and had become immune to, can you walk us through that

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argument? And the implications for we'll just say all the other dead and buried potential, you know,

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humanoid species that could have manifested on the earth? Yeah, so I think the thing that's

1Speaker 1
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really important to remember is that, you know, 50, 60,000 years ago, the world was so different

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to the one that we live in today. It was actually in many ways a bit more like, you know, Lord of

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the Rings, when you have these different types of humans, Tolkien calls them races of humans,

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which is a little bit problematic in the modern day. But you know, you don't just have men,

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you also have your dwarfs, your hobbits, your elves, your half elf, half humans,

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who formed the Fellowship of the Ring. And similarly, 50, 60,000 years ago,

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Homo sapiens were stuck in the African continent. And you had also some other species of humans

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in Africa, but you had the Neanderthals in Western Eurasia. And then you had another

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species of humans that were similar to Neanderthals called Denisovans, who were in the east

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of Eurasia. And then when you get to kind of Southeast Asia, you had other species of humans.

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So Homo florensis, which is found on the island of Flores in Indonesia, which was actually

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pretty similar to a hobbit. It was about one meter tall with disproportionately large,

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large feet. We're not sure if they're hairy or not. And the world was very different 50,000

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years ago. And then suddenly something remarkable happened. All these other species of humans

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disappeared. They became extinct within a few thousand years and Homo sapiens surged out of

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Africa. And they spread really quickly throughout the so-called old world. And they even got as far

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as Australia really, really, really, really quickly. And this is one of the great kind of

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mysteries of the Paleolithic era. Why did this happen? Why did we go from a multi-species

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world to a Homo sapiens world? And there's all sorts of explanations. And the dominant

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theory is the idea that we Homo sapiens were just smarter, just more intelligent than the other

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species. And therefore we were able to out-compete them. But this doesn't really make sense.

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One, we've been around as a species for at least 150,000 years. So that's a long time for

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that advantage to kick in. But also the latest evidence suggests that certainly Neanderthals

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were not that different to us in cognitive ability. We know that they were painting on cave walls.

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We know that they were able to travel by boat between the islands in the Mediterranean.

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They certainly could talk to each other and communicate. They seem to have buried their dead,

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maybe even with flowers, to commemorate the fallen family members. And so the more we learn

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about Neanderthals, the more we realize that they were pretty similar to us in terms of cognitive

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ability. And so this raises the question, why? What happened? And the most convincing explanation

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is infectious diseases. And the answer is pretty simple, actually, that

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Homo sapiens and Neanderthals would have been separated for hundreds of thousands of years. So

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they would have evolved in different disease environments. And their immune system would

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have evolved to cope with particular pathogens. So when they met maybe 60,000 years ago in the

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Mediterranean, it would have been pretty devastating. Homo sapiens would have carried

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pathogens that they had developed immunity to, but the Neanderthals would have really got very,

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very sick or even died, and vice versa. And so we see this actually in the Eastern Mediterranean,

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that over a period of tens of thousands of years, Homo sapiens tried to push out,

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and then they don't seem to manage it. The traces of them disappear. And also,

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this happens to Neanderthals. They move around into the Eastern Mediterranean, then

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we find traces of them in caves in Israel and places like that. And then they seem to disappear.

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The trail turns cold. So this seems to be a period in which these two populations are meeting. And we

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know they met because something like 2% of our DNA comes from Neanderthals. We even-

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Some other things, yeah. Yeah, exactly. But the thing was that

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Homo sapiens, having grown up in, having evolved in tropical Africa, would have carried more and

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more deadly pathogens. And this is a kind of, you know, this is still a theme today, that the closer

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you get to the tropics, the more and the more deadly infectious diseases that you tend to find.

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And this is, there's a very simple explanation for this, that more of the sun's rays reach the

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earth. Therefore, there's more vegetation, there's more animals living on that vegetation,

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and there's more microbes living on those animals. So as Homo sapiens were pushing out of Africa,

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they carried a greater disease burden. And so they would have overcome the Neanderthal

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diseases before the Neanderthals ever came there. And so when they overcame the diseases,

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when they developed immunity, they would have been able to surge out of Africa

2Speaker 2
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and spread throughout the world. You know, it's fascinating as I digest this argument.

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Our time horizon as human beings living in 2023 is so dramatically shortened from the time horizon

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of the history that you're describing, right? And, you know, as you talk about this,

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it's not a matter of any individual Neanderthal or Homo sapien life course. It's a matter of

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literally thousands of years in which there's this sort of moment of interaction between these

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two different types of human beings. And you're talking about it, you know, a prehistoric is not

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even the right term. This is a moment in which so much of the scientific understanding that you

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learned when you were three, four, and five didn't really exist. And so, you know, the capacity to

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withstand or heal, we think was really quite limited at the time. And so you're just talking

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about this like edge of transmissibility between these two different diseases. And it really only

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takes a couple of them over a couple of hundred years, right, to seasonally come back and then

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wipe out a whole group of people. One thing... Yeah, yeah. And I think, you know, the thing to

1Speaker 1
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remember is that, you know, we know that we have, you know, particularly Homo sapiens whose ancestors

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have grown up for a long time in Europe, Asia, and America have kind of about 2% Neanderthal genes.

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This is what Svante Paabo, the winner of last year's Nobel Prize for Medicine, kind of

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discovered about 10 years ago. But I think what's really interesting is that the genes that we've

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retained from Neanderthals, they're not random. They're ones that gave our ancestors an advantage

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as they were pushing out of sub-Saharan Africa into a new climate and a new disease environment.

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So some of these genes relate to our skin color and our body hair, so helping us survive in the

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cold, dark, northern climes. But many of the genes that we have retained from Neanderthals relate to

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our immune system because, you know, basically by having sex and reproducing with Neanderthals,

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we were able to wholesale acquire new capabilities from Neanderthals that they've

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taken hundreds of thousands of years to evolve. So it's kind of an inadvertent, unwitting form

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of biohacking in many ways, a way of kind of getting around the kind of terribly slow process

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of Darwinian evolution by natural selection. So yeah, it's amazing what we can now learn about

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this period that's so, so far in the past. But I guess the other interesting thing to say is,

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you know, 50,000 years ago, it seems like a long time ago, but bacteria were first around something

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like three and a half billion years ago. So it really puts human life into perspective when we

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think that humans as a species have been around for just two million years, Homo sapiens 200,000,

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maybe 300,000 years, and these tiny little bacteria have been around for three and a half

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billion years. It really shows how kind of we're squatting in a bacterial world, in a way,

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and how we've had to evolve to live with these tiny, tiny microbes.

2Speaker 2
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22:59.82 – 23:03.92

I want to tell you about another podcast I think you'd like. It's called Say More from the Boston

23:03.92 – 23:08.96

Globe. On Say More, host Shirley Leung talks to the doers and thinkers behind the biggest ideas

23:08.96 – 23:13.82

and debates of our time, like will artificial intelligence make humans obsolete? Can giving

23:13.82 – 23:18.14

cash to low-income families bring stability to their lives? Is the U.S. already in a cold war

23:18.14 – 23:22.68

with China? Politics, culture, entrepreneurship, women shattering glass ceiling, and more.

23:23.14 – 23:26.72

Say More, a new podcast from Boston Globe Opinion. Listen wherever you get your podcasts.

23:33.22 – 23:41.88

I want to fast forward here to the moment that we start farming as a means of producing a

23:41.88 – 23:49.40

predictable amount of food. And the other thing that comes out of the farming ecosystem is,

23:49.68 – 23:53.14

well, by definition, if you're farming a plot of land, you got to stay put on that plot of land.

23:53.70 – 24:05.18

And it creates a space where the capacity for large-scale human congregation and therefore

24:05.18 – 24:11.76

large-scale transmissibility of disease is now a foregone conclusion. Can you talk about

24:12.42 – 24:20.24

the advent of agriculture and the impact that that had on the disease experience of people

1Speaker 1
24:20.24 – 24:30.22

at that time? Sure. So if we say that homo sapiens have been around for 200,000, 300,000 years,

24:30.26 – 24:39.32

it was only 12,000 years ago that our ancestors started to experiment with agriculture. So

24:39.32 – 24:45.82

cultivating seeds and plants and trying to domesticate animals. And this, first of all,

24:45.82 – 24:53.30

happened in the so-called Fertile Crescent in the Middle East. And there were various other

24:53.30 – 24:59.20

experiments that occurred a few thousand years later, independently in China, India,

24:59.66 – 25:08.08

parts of West Africa, even in South, Central and North America. Interestingly, not in Europe though,

25:08.08 – 25:16.36

which I always find quite amusing because there's a big move to see Europe as the

25:16.36 – 25:22.94

kind of seat of world civilization, but we were certainly a laggard with respect to agriculture.

25:24.78 – 25:32.58

But basically, when we were hunter-gatherers, the planet could maybe support about 10 million people.

25:32.58 – 25:40.08

And as you say, as soon as we settled down and started cultivating crops and domesticating

25:40.08 – 25:47.34

animals, this massively increased the amount of people that could survive on the Earth's resources.

25:47.96 – 25:54.56

So Jared Diamond estimates pretty soon after that, you could support 100 times more people

25:54.56 – 26:00.42

with agriculture than with hunter-gathering. And now we're living in a world where there's what,

26:00.42 – 26:07.14

seven, eight billion people living precariously, but still, it's really, really remarkable.

26:08.02 – 26:13.64

And so certainly, some people see the adoption of agriculture as the first

26:14.18 – 26:18.44

giant leap on the road towards human civilization, which we're benefiting from

26:18.44 – 26:26.56

now. And other people kind of believe it's the first step towards poverty and inequality. And

26:26.56 – 26:33.56

I guess there's a bit of truth to both of those arguments. But what's really clear is that

26:34.24 – 26:41.78

the transition to agriculture was an absolute boon for infectious diseases. So for the first

26:41.78 – 26:48.08

time in history, humans were living cheek by jowl with one another, but also with animals,

26:48.52 – 26:55.02

both farm animals and also the kind of parasites that would come and live on your grain and

26:55.02 – 27:01.66

food. So this created the perfect environment, really, for infectious diseases to jump from one

27:01.66 – 27:08.40

species to another, which is more often than not the source of infectious diseases. And then for

27:08.40 – 27:16.40

these diseases to spread quickly throughout human communities, first in villages and then by trade

27:16.40 – 27:23.82

routes with other parts of the world. And so many of the infectious diseases that have really

27:23.82 – 27:30.28

devastated humans for the last few thousand years emerged in the wake of this transition to

27:30.84 – 27:35.58

agriculture. So we see this both if we look at genomic evidence from

27:38.66 – 27:43.80

bacteria and viruses, but also if we look at archaeology. So if you look at

27:44.60 – 27:53.38

things like paintings in Egyptian pyramids, they are the first evidence of smallpox,

27:53.38 – 27:59.38

for example, or you seem to see people suffering from polio. You have people depicted with withered

27:59.38 – 28:05.64

limbs using walking canes, but otherwise they seem to be young and unhealthy. And so,

28:06.46 – 28:12.04

yeah, I think it's really fascinating. And there's also kind of things that we can talk about that

28:12.04 – 28:18.72

are relevant today, but this first great kind of technological development in human history

28:19.36 – 28:26.66

also brought about kind of devastation from infectious diseases. And there's some really

28:26.66 – 28:33.90

fascinating research that has been done over the last couple of years. So just a few months ago,

28:33.92 – 28:41.16

they found the oldest evidence of plague bacteria, Yersinia pestis, in England, and it was about

28:41.16 – 28:47.04

4000 years old. And it's really amazing how they do this. They basically kind of

28:50.20 – 28:56.76

remove some material from ancient bones. And I guess one use of this is to try and find

28:56.76 – 29:01.78

out the DNA of the people whose bones they were. But also when you're doing this,

29:02.30 – 29:08.36

you pick up other genetic material, including the genetic material of the microbes that were

29:08.36 – 29:17.02

in your blood at the time of death. And so in a few people, they found plague bacteria. So this

29:17.02 – 29:25.02

suggests that 4000 years ago, there was, I guess we could call it a kind of Neolithic Black Death

29:25.02 – 29:32.54

that was causing chaos throughout Europe and as far as Britain, which at the time was a kind of

29:32.54 – 29:40.02

really distant Northwestern outpost of Eurasia. So yeah, you can find out really fascinating

29:40.02 – 29:48.22

things about prehistory and the really kind of deep, deep past through ancient DNA research.

2Speaker 2
29:48.80 – 29:55.16

You know, it's a fascinating thing, right? Because before then, we'd mainly lived in clans. And if

29:55.16 – 30:02.22

you had, by dint of being out and exposed through hunting, you had become exposed to the kind of

30:02.22 – 30:08.88

virus that truly can spread in humans, it might wipe out the clan. But because we lived in clans,

30:08.94 – 30:12.84

it sort of protected the whole. And then all of a sudden, you have this thing called, quote,

30:12.86 – 30:17.18

civilization, where people are all fixed, living very, very close with one another,

30:19.08 – 30:22.80

and many of whom are in deeply impoverished circumstances and cannot leave.

30:23.88 – 30:32.84

And you have this situation where now you've sacrificed whole towns and cities to particular

30:32.84 – 30:39.68

diseases, and that persists today. I mean, so much of what we experience with COVID is not just that

30:39.68 – 30:43.24

we live very close to each other, but it's that we live very close to each other and now are

30:43.24 – 30:49.76

hyperconnected by things that can move the span of the world in a day, right? So it's fundamentally

30:49.76 – 30:57.42

changed that nature. One of the things that you talk a lot about is colonialism, and it almost

30:57.42 – 31:05.90

parallels the history that you shared hundreds of thousands of years ago with the spread of these

31:05.90 – 31:14.42

different kinds of humans. But in colonial history, you have this pushing out of groups and this use

31:14.42 – 31:23.00

of disease as a bioweapon to subjugate other folks. Can you talk a little bit about the role

31:23.00 – 31:31.30

of disease in the colonial enterprise? Anybody listening in the US will know about the stories

31:31.30 – 31:36.88

of the use of smallpox against Native Americans, but how broad was this?

1Speaker 1
31:37.70 – 31:45.14

Yeah, I mean, I think it's useful for North American listeners, readers to go back a thousand

31:45.14 – 31:54.00

years when Scandinavian seafarers, Vikings who were living in Iceland and Greenland first

31:54.00 – 32:01.44

discovered North America, and they called it Vinland. And there they found this kind of

32:03.34 – 32:08.62

green, wonderful place that they wanted to live in, they wanted to settle, and they tried several

32:08.62 – 32:15.68

times to do this. But on both occasions, they were fought back by the Native population, and

32:16.46 – 32:24.44

they weren't able to settle and colonize North America. So I think it's really important to

32:24.44 – 32:30.44

remember that it's actually quite difficult for one group of people to go to another populated

32:30.44 – 32:39.42

part of the world and defeat the Native population and set up a new colony. It's a

32:39.42 – 32:49.58

really tough thing to do. And when we take this into account, what happened 500 years later

32:49.58 – 32:58.02

when the Spanish came across Mesoamerica and South America, it demonstrates just how remarkable

32:58.02 – 33:08.20

the Spanish conquest of the Americas was. So if we think of Hernán Cortés, who conquered the great

33:08.20 – 33:16.48

Mexico or Aztec Empire in the 1520s, he managed to do this with about a thousand people. And this

33:16.48 – 33:26.00

was a vast, sophisticated empire. Tenochtitlán, the capital city of the empire, maybe had

33:26.00 – 33:34.06

200, 250,000 people. So this was a city that was four times the size of the biggest city

33:34.06 – 33:45.64

in Spain at the time. So this idea that Europeans were more advanced, it's just flawed. The key to

33:45.64 – 33:55.02

the Spanish conquest of Mesoamerica was smallpox, which arrived just before the Spanish managed to

33:55.02 – 34:00.18

defeat the empire. And of course, because the Native Americans hadn't been exposed, they were

34:01.02 – 34:09.16

immunologically naive. And the disease killed maybe a third or half of the population and left

34:09.16 – 34:16.30

the European conquerors untouched. And then it raced ahead of the Europeans and it devastated

34:16.30 – 34:24.88

the Inca Empire. And a decade later, you have Francisco Pizarro, who comes along with 168 men

34:24.88 – 34:31.22

and manages to conquer this great empire in South America that stretched more or less the whole

34:31.22 – 34:36.56

length of the continent. And it wasn't just the military victories. It was the fact that

34:38.34 – 34:45.88

the Spanish formed these new colonies on the ashes of the old empires, and they ruled them

34:45.88 – 34:50.66

for hundreds of years. And we can still see the consequences of that now, whether it's the

34:50.66 – 34:55.36

language or the religion. And it wasn't just smallpox. There were other diseases that came

34:55.36 – 35:02.66

over. So it was wave after wave of plague. And scientists have estimated that the population

35:02.66 – 35:11.82

of the Americas fell from maybe about 60 million to 6 million in 100 years after the arrival of

35:12.50 – 35:18.70

Christopher Columbus. So literally decimated. And you can even see the impact of this in

35:18.70 – 35:24.82

ice cores that are drilled in the Arctic. So you can see the fall in the amount of carbon

35:24.82 – 35:31.36

dioxide in the air because of the decline in slash and burn agriculture. And scientists have

35:31.36 – 35:38.50

even suggested this contributed to the Little Ice Age. So the cold medieval period when the Thames

35:38.50 – 35:47.04

used to freeze over for several months a year and the entrepreneurial townsmen would build cafes

35:47.68 – 35:54.98

and pubs and ice rinks on the Thames and have these what they called frost fairs. So it shows

35:54.98 – 36:00.46

how even 500 years ago the world was really interconnected. But we can even think about

36:00.46 – 36:06.70

the relevance of this to North America as well, because there were certainly several attempts to

36:07.44 – 36:13.54

settle in what became New England before the Pilgrims were successful. And the Pilgrims

36:13.54 – 36:21.14

weren't successful because they were particularly well organized. They were a pretty ragtag

36:21.14 – 36:29.30

bunch of people. And they were pretty badly organized, which makes sense because they

36:29.30 – 36:36.26

arrived in the middle of the New England winter. And the only reason they were really successful

36:36.26 – 36:44.38

is because they arrived a couple of years after a devastating pandemic in the Massachusetts Bay,

36:44.54 – 36:50.90

which maybe killed 90% of the population. And in fact, when you read the accounts of the Pilgrims,

36:50.98 – 37:00.22

they settled in one of the abandoned villages. And they even managed to survive by taking grain

37:00.22 – 37:03.54

from the houses. And that's one of the ways that they were able to get through the winter without

37:04.34 – 37:10.90

starving. So yeah, the whole conquest of the Americas really can't be understood without

37:11.62 – 37:19.98

germs. And I know a while ago, Jared Diamond talked about guns, germs, and steel. But I think

37:19.98 – 37:26.12

when we actually look at the latest data, it would be more accurate to say germs, germs, germs.

2Speaker 2
37:27.06 – 37:33.44

And that story doesn't often get told about how it was pestilence that was brought over

37:34.34 – 37:41.42

to an immune naive population that wiped away a large proportion of that population. And instead,

37:42.24 – 37:50.48

history gets told from the perspective of the folks who brought that over. And then agency

37:50.48 – 37:56.40

is attributed to those people, which creates all kinds of racialized hierarchies that are

37:57.04 – 38:03.26

that are thought to be self-evident as a function of, quote, winners and losers.

38:03.44 – 38:08.56

And instead, actually, a lot of this has to do with the evolution of very tiny things that

38:08.56 – 38:15.40

we didn't even understand at the time. You talk very movingly in your book about the implications

38:15.40 – 38:23.62

with respect to the transatlantic slave trade. I really recommend that listeners pick up the book

38:23.62 – 38:29.80

and read through it. I want to ask a couple of questions just about modern times, because,

38:30.26 – 38:36.18

you know, we think we live in an age, or at least pre-2020, we thought we lived in an age where we

38:36.18 – 38:42.74

were past infectious diseases, which, you know, is just a reification of exactly that pattern I just

38:42.74 – 38:48.04

talked about. These are infectious diseases that weren't systematically affecting upper and middle

38:48.04 – 38:54.46

income people in high income societies, but infectious diseases that persist in lower and

38:54.46 – 39:01.90

middle income societies and in low income parts of high income societies. And the subtext here is

39:01.90 – 39:08.86

just the level of inequity that changes your epidemiologic experience in modern times. You talk

39:08.86 – 39:16.16

quite a bit about the role of capitalism in moving a lot of these surges and in, I hate to say it,

39:16.16 – 39:24.00

exploiting infectious diseases for the enrichment of very few. Can you talk about the way that that

1Speaker 1
39:24.00 – 39:31.62

operates even now and today? Yeah, so I think it's useful to start off by thinking about the

39:31.62 – 39:36.48

industrial revolution in England and the fact that, you know, if we look back to the

39:37.18 – 39:45.50

first half of the 19th century, this was a period of, you know, really incredible wealth creation

39:45.50 – 39:54.62

in England. But at the same time, it was a period in which life expectancy wasn't increasing. And

39:54.62 – 39:59.98

this is because the wealth was being created in these vast factory towns in the north of England.

40:00.82 – 40:06.36

And people were moving from the countryside to work in these factories. And there wasn't a

40:06.36 – 40:11.98

democracy at the time. So people didn't really care about the factory workers. They just let

40:11.98 – 40:21.84

them live in their slum accommodation. And it was dirty, crowded, and sanitary. So at the same time

40:21.84 – 40:31.82

that these factories were kind of manufacturing all of this kind of remarkable produce and shipping

40:31.82 – 40:37.36

it across the world, you had the workers living in horrible conditions. And, you know, life expectancy

40:37.36 – 40:44.76

figures in central Manchester, for example, in the middle of the 19th century were 25. So really

40:45.64 – 40:52.86

shocking. And health only started to improve when you get towards the end of the 19th century,

40:53.10 – 41:01.52

and you have a gradual kind of democratisation of British politics. And so in about, what would it

41:01.52 – 41:07.92

be? 1867, you have the Second Reform Act, and 60% of the working class population, or the working

41:07.92 – 41:12.32

class male population, we should say, are enfranchised. And then they start voting for

41:13.70 – 41:20.88

mayors and municipal politicians that kind of campaign on an agenda of building

41:23.40 – 41:29.60

sanitation systems, piping fresh water into the cities. And this is when you see the kind of

41:29.60 – 41:34.50

massive improvement in public health and life expectancy in England. And I think there's an

41:34.50 – 41:46.74

important lesson there that capitalism is amazing in some respects, in the sense that it has

41:48.10 – 41:53.86

encouraged wealth creation in a way that other ways of organising the economy haven't.

41:53.86 – 42:02.48

But there's also a massive danger to capitalism when the state doesn't intervene to regulate

42:02.48 – 42:11.10

capitalists, then really it can have a terrible impact on the population. And we saw that in the

42:11.10 – 42:20.10

first half of the 1800s. And we also see that now, right? And, you know, I know you work in

42:21.33 – 42:28.23

public health, Abdul, and, you know, you can see the role that private corporations

42:30.07 – 42:34.97

have in creating public health crises when, you know, the state doesn't regulate them,

42:35.05 – 42:40.99

whether that's kind of companies polluting the water, or whether it's selling products

42:40.99 – 42:47.11

that are dangerous to our health, whether that's cigarettes, alcohol, ultra processed food.

42:47.11 – 42:53.79

And so I think, you know, there's an important lesson from the book that,

42:54.07 – 43:02.03

you know, certainly, if certainly kind of laissez-faire, or, you know, kind of

43:02.03 – 43:09.53

unregulated capitalism, you know, creates an enormous amount of wealth for the economic elite,

43:09.69 – 43:14.23

but it doesn't really do anything to benefit the majority of the population. In fact,

43:14.23 – 43:18.37

it can have a devastating effect on the health of the majority of the population. So

43:18.95 – 43:25.61

there is an important policy lesson there that, you know, there does have to be regulation. You

43:25.61 – 43:32.41

know, if we look throughout history, the state plays an important role in kind of, you know,

43:32.45 – 43:38.29

basically providing a mechanism by which this fantastic economic growth can be converted into

43:38.29 – 43:43.81

broad based health and well-being for the whole of the population. And it's a lesson that we seem

43:43.81 – 43:50.53

to have forgotten in the UK, and I guess, to an extent in the US over the last 30 years or so,

43:50.65 – 43:55.23

but it's certainly a terrible shame that we're not learning lesson from that.

2Speaker 2
43:55.87 – 44:01.01

Yeah, I really appreciate that point, because we forget that the nature of capitalism

44:01.57 – 44:09.65

is to leverage capital and all that capital can afford to create more money. And what we forget

44:09.65 – 44:16.59

is that that can often be agnostic to what the downstream external consequences are to people's

44:16.59 – 44:21.77

health. And so whether it's making sure that that system of capitalism isn't exploiting people's

44:21.77 – 44:29.17

bodies to make a dollar or make a pound, or it's making sure that the earnings of that are

44:29.17 – 44:35.49

redistributed into infrastructure that protects the whole, you got to have a functioning state.

44:35.49 – 44:42.45

And, you know, some of the arguments I get in with more laissez-faire capitalists

44:43.89 – 44:50.13

hinge on this idea that somehow regulation is what gets in the way of even more value creation.

44:50.65 – 44:54.67

And the funny thing I think a lot of folks tend to forget is that the ultimate enemy

44:54.67 – 44:59.61

of capitalism is monopoly. And that's the end outcome of capitalism. So like capitalism is

44:59.61 – 45:04.11

itself self-defeating, like that's just the nature of the beast. And so it cannot exist

45:04.11 – 45:10.53

without some force pushing back to make sure that all of the substrate, right, the public goods,

45:10.73 – 45:18.33

the people to work and to buy are healthy and able to actually function in that system.

1Speaker 1
45:19.51 – 45:27.83

No, no, exactly. Poverty is, or kind of disease, ill health is a massive driver of poverty,

45:27.83 – 45:34.37

you know, kind of even if we think of pretty, you know, pretty centrist economists like

45:34.37 – 45:41.25

Jeff Sachs, Jeffrey Sachs, who is at Columbia still, you know, he talks about the poverty

45:41.25 – 45:46.37

trap and the role that infectious diseases play in the poverty trap, the fact that, you know,

45:46.41 – 45:53.37

if as an individual, you are ill, then you can't work or you can't go to school. Maybe someone has

45:53.37 – 45:59.85

to take time off work or off school to look after you. You might well have to spend a large amount

45:59.85 – 46:07.13

of your family's money on out-of-pocket medical expenses. And so this has a devastating impact on

46:08.15 – 46:16.59

the economic viability of a household. But when, you know, you take whole countries or regions

46:16.59 – 46:22.67

where this is happening to thousands or millions of people, this has a devastating impact on

46:22.67 – 46:29.87

the economy. And this basically kind of makes it very, very difficult to escape poverty. And

46:29.87 – 46:35.07

it makes it much more likely that subsequent generations will also get ill and suffer the

46:35.07 – 46:41.99

same kind of terrible negative feedback loops. So, you know, having a healthy population is

46:42.61 – 46:48.93

a crucial part of having a wealthy society as well. And I appreciate that point. And I

2Speaker 2
46:48.93 – 46:55.67

particularly appreciate you highlighting that through the course of so many eras of our history

46:56.45 – 47:03.57

and taking time to illustrate the ways in which our own failure to remember that point has allowed

47:03.57 – 47:08.59

us to be exploited by other creatures, the ones that we don't see and for a long time didn't know

47:08.59 – 47:17.85

existed. John, really appreciate you joining us here today. It was really a really helpful

47:17.85 – 47:24.01

conversation to put in context so much of what I think folks are newly being reminded or have

47:24.01 – 47:30.33

been reminded over the last four years or so. Our guest today is the author of the book Pathogenesis.

47:30.67 – 47:34.79

He's a reader in politics and global health in the Center for Public Health and Policy at Queen

47:34.79 – 47:39.55

Mary University in London. And he joined us to talk about his new book, Pathogenesis. John,

1Speaker 1
47:39.55 – 47:43.53

thank you so much for taking the time. Thank you so much, Abdul. It was a real pleasure.

2Speaker 2
47:51.51 – 47:56.19

As usual, here's what I'm watching right now. Guess how much the CEOs of America's health

47:56.19 – 48:01.41

care companies made in 2022? Four billion dollars. Yes, I don't have a cold. That's

48:01.41 – 48:06.79

billion with a B. That's an average of 64 times the earnings of the average health care employee.

48:06.79 – 48:12.73

Yes, 64 times. To put in perspective, the average CEO made more in one week than their average

48:12.73 – 48:17.85

employee made all year. Now, you know, this is a regular beat here at America's second.

48:18.13 – 48:22.27

And the reason I cover this isn't because I begrudge anyone their money. No, it's because

48:22.27 – 48:26.71

this explains so much of what's wrong about American health care dynamics. Health care

48:26.71 – 48:30.89

companies call themselves, quote, nonprofits. That means that in theory, they're not driven

48:30.89 – 48:35.07

by earnings of investors or stockholders. Instead, they're driven by the earnings of their CEOs.

48:35.07 – 48:38.97

That means that from the very top, they're incentivized to maximize revenue.

48:39.41 – 48:44.71

And that means doing so many of the shitty things they always do. How else do you explain hounding

48:44.71 – 48:49.01

your most indigent patients who had to go into debt to pay for their health care? How else do

48:49.01 – 48:53.29

you explain jacking up the cost of basic services? How else do you explain whittling down the amount

48:53.29 – 48:57.39

of time that any doctor has to see their patients while holding those same doctors accountable to

48:57.39 – 49:02.85

their patient satisfaction scores? How else do you explain win at all costs consolidations that

49:02.85 – 49:08.23

leave patients with fewer and fewer options? The reason this matters is because we've commodified

49:08.23 – 49:13.57

health care so profoundly that we've sucked the basic humanity out of it and explains so much of

49:13.57 – 49:18.99

the worst things about our health care system. So next time you ask why, remember, four billion

49:18.99 – 49:24.45

dollars is probably why this is, unfortunately, the second week in a row that I felt compelled

49:24.45 – 49:29.13

to cover COVID. And that's because cases are up 20 percent over the last two weeks. Thankfully,

49:29.13 – 49:33.69

hospitalizations and deaths remain quite low, but the fact that cases are up suggests that we may

49:33.69 – 49:38.63

see a bump in those two metrics in the next few weeks. What's particularly concerning is that we're

49:38.63 – 49:42.67

about to watch as temperatures begin to drop and the kids go back to school. Don't get me wrong.

49:42.83 – 49:46.53

I'm not saying we should change anything about that. I'm saying that it's worth watching out.

49:46.99 – 49:50.83

Aside from getting our vaccine boosters, I want to highlight one more thing that all of us can be

49:50.83 – 49:56.01

doing about it, and that's indoor air purification. You've probably heard me say this before. Schools

49:56.01 – 49:59.51

received millions of dollars to invest in improvements in infrastructure through the

49:59.51 – 50:04.33

pandemic, and air purification should be at the top of that list. Not only is it critical for

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COVID prevention, but it's also critical to prevent so many other airborne diseases, colds, flus,

50:09.85 – 50:15.81

RSV, et cetera. Finally, this happened this week. A federal appeals court yesterday imposed

50:15.81 – 50:21.17

restrictions on the abortion pill Mifeprestone, but the ruling will not take effect until the

50:21.17 – 50:25.37

Supreme Court makes a decision about the case. This ruling follows an April decision from Texas

50:25.37 – 50:29.91

federal court judge, Matt Kaczmarek, upending decades of precedent and the power of the FDA

50:29.91 – 50:34.87

by arguing that the commonly used abortion medication Mifeprestone's decade-old FDA approval

50:34.87 – 50:39.39

should be overturned. The three-judge appeals court tried to find some compromised position,

50:39.91 – 50:43.41

reversing the FDA ruling, but placing major restrictions on Mifeprestone access,

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including eliminating medication by mail and requiring a physician's visit to get access.

50:48.41 – 50:52.29

None of this matters for now, considering that the Supreme Court has put a stay on both rulings

50:52.29 – 50:57.31

until it decides whether or not to hear an appeal. But remember, this is essentially the same court

50:57.31 – 51:03.61

that banned Breaux, so not great. We'll watch the space for you. That's it for today. On your way

51:03.61 – 51:07.15

out, don't forget to rate and review. It does go a long way. And listen, if you've got some friends

51:07.15 – 51:11.31

out there who are health conscious and interested in getting the real story on some things, tell

51:11.31 – 51:15.21

them about the show. Word of mouth still matters. Also, if you love the show and want to rep us,

51:15.37 – 51:18.83

I hope you'll drop by the Crooked store for some American Dissected merch. Don't forget,

51:18.83 – 51:30.29

we've got those SIGPOD brochures. American Dissected is a product of Crooked Media.

51:30.65 – 51:34.63

Our producer is Austin Fisher. Our associate producers are Tara Terpstra and Emma LeCrank.

51:34.91 – 51:38.35

Vasilis Fotopoulos mixes and masters the show. Production support from Ari Schwartz,

51:38.57 – 51:42.31

and a special thanks to Naomi Bierenbaum, our intern, for her incredible work this summer.

51:42.85 – 51:46.71

Theme song is by Taka Asazawa and Alex Rugiera. Our executive producers are Leo Duran,

51:46.71 – 51:51.29

Sarah Geismar, Michael Martinez, and me, Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, your host. Thanks for listening.

51:57.45 – 52:00.67

This show is for general information and entertainment purposes only. It's not

52:00.67 – 52:03.75

intended to provide specific health care or medical advice and should not be construed

52:03.75 – 52:06.97

as providing health care or medical advice. Please consult your physician with any questions

52:06.97 – 52:10.31

related to your own health. The views expressed in this podcast reflect those of the host and

52:10.31 – 52:13.81

his guests and do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of Wayne County, Michigan,

52:13.81 – 52:16.23

or its Department of Health, Human, and Veteran Services.

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