Will the Supreme Court Upend 2024?

But first, Republican politicians have spent the week finding new ways to humiliate themselves, just to keep the criminal defendant who lost in the last few elections happy. Nikki Haley, herself no stranger to humiliation after bruising 30 point loss in Nevada to the formidable, none of these candidates, did do a great job summing up the cost of her party becoming a cult. Look at what happened yesterday. Trump loses the case on having immunity for whatever comes next. Republicans lose a fight on the border.

They lose a fight on Israel aid. The head of the Republican Party loses her job. Everything that Donald Trump.

She might have beaten none of the above. Like the chaos.

Don't leave that one out in 2023.

. Yeah. So we'll. we'll see how that goes. All right.

Let's start with Congress, as Haley mentioned, where Republicans negotiated the toughest, most conservative immigration deal in decades. Then Trump ordered them to kill their own deal because he thinks chaos at the border will help him beat Joe Biden. So they killed it. They're moving ahead with a baseless and fairly useless effort to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas so that Trump can have a talking point on the campaign trail. But they failed at that because Republicans picked a creepy backbencher for speaker who can't count votes.

And now that the Senate potentially does have the votes to pass the aid for Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan that a bunch of Republicans have said that they want, they're going to even greater lengths to embarrass themselves by saying things like this. Finally, I just want to ask whether or not this new bill that's just about foreign policy, whether you're going to vote in favor of it, foreign foreign money for for Israel, for for what's happening in the Ukraine. What do you think of that standalone foreign policy bill? David, I voted no already a few minutes ago, and here's the reason why. Unfortunately, what this administration and Chuck Schumer they are doing is using the crisis in Israel to support other priorities of the party.

We should first secure our southern border. Oh, my God. No to the border deal, because Biden doesn't need legislation to secure the border, and no to foreign aid, because it doesn't come with border legislation. That was Tim Scott, by the way. Tim Scott gave the best speech at the 2020 convention, once seen as the party's fresh faced future.

And now he sounds like a zombie Trump bot stuck on repeat.

They killed it in like 17 minutes and are back to just trying to pass a thing Joe Biden asked for. What a gigantic waste of time and tremendous incompetence from this goat rodeo of a political party that controls way too much of government.

So they want to, it's weird. They want to, if only they could pass funding for Ukraine and Israel and Taiwan, but also pair it with like tougher border security. Wouldn't it be, they should do like a deal with Democrats where they figure out, Oh yeah.

So what do?

And so he doesn't want to have that vote because it would be very bad for him. So that's what he's trying to avoid. So it's hard to imagine that if they don't do the place where he drew the red line on border security, that he would just take this up and pass it. I mean, the guy seems not particularly good at his job, so maybe he will stumble ass backwards into doing it. But if you took what he said seriously, which I really recognize, you should not based on the last few months of his speakership, it seems hard to imagine he would actually bring it up, given that,

They like to deport dreamers. They like to outlaw abortion. I can't think of a single policy preference. they wouldn't sacrifice for Donald Trump. They have now put electing this man again as president ahead of policy beliefs, moral beliefs, their constituents, their careers, their reputations, their own names, in the case of Ronna McDaniel.

Actually, we say cults like jokingly. I don't see how the Republican Party is different than an actual cult.

Like a handful, maybe?

In the many scenarios in which I imagine that, I did not think it'd be one where Ted Cruz would get the upper hand on Mitch McConnell, so that was a surprise to me. Look, I think this is actually a pretty significant moment, because the dominant figure of Republican politics the last 20 years is Mitch McConnell. It's not Donald Trump. It's not George W. Bush.

It's Mitch McConnell. because all the things that ... Donald Trump does not exist without Mitch McConnell. If you go Mitch McConnell helping change campaign finance laws going way back, Mitch McConnell stealing the Supreme Court seat to give voters permission to vote for Trump, even voters who did not like him in the 2016 election. I don't think Donald Trump wins that election on Mitch McConnell.

He's been this dominant figure in part because he ruled with power and strength. The way the last 48 hours or so played out is a sign that he has lost his fastball. His reign is essentially over. I would be surprised if he is the Senate leader in the

It's actually some metaphors or lessons for Trump here is that he ruled with an iron fist for all this time. Once you've been exposed as weak, once the people get to look behind the curtain, it is over. This week, he was the one who demanded that bipartisan deal. He shepherded it. He supported it.

He brought it forward.

He misread his own power. This is the end of Mitch McConnell. The Mitch McConnell era in Republican politics is over. The worst part about it is it's probably going to be replaced with something even worse than Mitch McConnell. Probably less effective in all the bad ways than Mitch McConnell, but even worse.

We talked about how Trump and Republicans intentionally stoking chaos at the border is a huge political opening for Democrats. Biden started hitting them on that front from the White House this week. But I don't know that anything could be more politically effective than some of the soundbites we've heard from Republicans themselves. Here's ultra-conservative Senator turned rhino-cuck traitor, James Lankford, talking on the Senate floor this week. In fact, I had a popular commentator four weeks ago that I talked to.

that told me flat out, before they knew any of the contents of the bill, any of the content, nothing was out at that point, that told me flat out, if you try to move a bill that solves the border crisis during this presidential year, I will do whatever I can to destroy you.

Because I do not want you to solve this during the presidential election. Fun fact, right-wing radio host, Jesse Kelly is the person that James Lankford was talking about. You know, Jesse Kelly? Barely. Seen him on Twitter once in a while.

He tweeted this clip and he took credit, saying, he may be a eunuch, but I'll say this about Lankford, he's got great taste in. radio. Called him a eunuch.

See, he's a radio host, Jesse Kelly. Yeah, he's a radio host. I don't know where, but yeah, you learn something new every day. How hard should Biden and Democrats lean in to this argument that basically Lankford was making? Do you think it's easy enough for voters to understand?

as oftentimes whatever's happening in Congress is quite difficult for voters to understand? It doesn't really break through, but for something like this, can they?

He should talk about it in the State of the Union. Everyone should do it. Because it's not just, there are two reasons for this. One is, border security is Biden's worst issue. In that NBC poll that we all hate from last weekend, he's down 35 points on who you trust more.

on border control and immigration. 35 points. And here we have a chance to go on offense on it. Now, I think you and I talked about this before on this podcast. The argument isn't that Trump's weak on the border.

It is that Trump put himself over border security, right? And that, to me, is a message that is believable. That John Trump and Republicans put their own politics ahead of what was best for the country. Because that leans, all your messages should be a sort of almost a nesting doll of your positive message and your negative message against your opponent. And that message against Republicans that they put them, that they're unwilling to work with Democrats.

They want to put their own political well-being ahead of the country. Fits exactly into what is the most appealing part of Biden's brand to most voters. That he is someone who is willing to work with anyone and everyone to get things done. That he is in it to help other people. And that's just the perfect contrast.

And so, it's not that this particular thing is going to break through and there'll be people running around talking about the demise of the Langford Murphy compromise. It's going to be that this is a data point to tell the larger story, which highlights why people, what people don't like about Republicans, what they like about Joe Biden. So, we got to run with this. It is a rare opportunity, and it's not that often you get to go on offense on your opponent's best issue,

We've been willing to reach across the aisle to get stuff done. We have gotten some stuff done by working with some Republicans over the last several years, but most Republican politicians in this party are only in this for Donald Trump. And Donald Trump is only in this for himself. And I think you just run that play on every single issue. And you can point to a whole bunch of different examples.

There's also we haven't even talked about the tax bill that's moving through Congress, that's bipartisan, that would extend the child tax credit. Do we bet that that's going to get passed? I don't necessarily... I don't have a lot of hope for that, even though there's a huge difference. Well, just to speak to what Donald Trump wants.

Right, exactly. And do they want to give... Oh, and Chuck Grassley, Republican Senator? Chuck Grassley, already said he's against it because it would give Joe Biden a win. Well, it would also alleviate poverty for millions of children, but they don't give a shit.

I just think this is a really important thing, a really important message to get across. I think Biden especially has to do.

That's not what you're supposed to say about why you're killing the bill, you fucking knuckleheads. So.

She reportedly stepped down after the South Carolina primary so that the boss can replace her with some stop the steel goon from North Carolina. It sure seems like Donald Trump has a stronger grip on the Republican party than he ever has, despite losing them the last three elections and facing 91 felony counts. What's up with that? Are they just giving their?

weak, amoral, immoral human beings unwilling to take the slightest bit of bit of a stand for on behalf of for patriotism and history, and all that, of course. But the reason this is happening is Republican voters, particularly the ones who vote in primaries, love Donald Trump. They love him more than any other yahoos. And so you guys are having this conversation about why people are endorsing Trump when he's just going to toss you aside, like, like Ronna Romney. McDaniel, it's because you're going to lose your primary.

The people who don't endorse Trump, they get sent. They're done. Right. The handful of fucking morons who endorse Ron DeSantis are in a world of hurt right now because Donald Trump's going to make them pay for it. And Mitt Romney out of the party.

. Mike Gallagher, from Wisconsin, who was one of the few Republicans who voted against the Mayorkas impeachment. Now the party's pissed at him. They're, like, you know, sick in the base. after him.

He's going to probably have a primary like it's just every single person.

Where you at least can go down fighting for something you care about. The people who sit in the middle, like Mitch McConnell, they're the ones who end up getting completely screwed in this.

So, of course, Donald Trump's awesome.

So.

Notably, they didn't say much about Colorado's finding that Trump did in fact participate in an insurrection. They seem to want to stay away from that. So to be continued there. So our usual disclaimer here, we will save the legal analysis for our friends at strict scrutiny. You should absolutely listen to the great conversation on Wednesday's pod about this case between Kate Shaw and Lovett, who he actually has his LSAT score.

political anxiety about how this was going to play out, in part because I always assumed the Supreme Court would just put Donald Trump back on the ballot. And so we're having this conversation that gives Donald Trump the opportunity to argue. the system is being weaponized against him. The Democrats are the ones who are anti-democratic. Democrats are the ones who are interfering in the election, which is all bad faith, bullshit.

But it feels like this is going to be dispensed with pretty quickly. And I guess maybe Trump will try to use this as a way to say that he's not an insurrectionist. Yeah, he'll definitely do that. He can do that, but that is going to be so overtaken by what happens in the January 6 trial that I know we'll get to. So yes, he could say that for a few days.

I'll set some truths about it. The glorious Supreme Court says, you know, rules for Donald Trump. I did not engage in insurrection. He can say all those things. But then what will really matter is what a jury, if this trial happens on time, that a jury of 12 citizens, what they say about whether he committed insurrection or not.

And so.

Like Illinois, said he should be on the ballot. Maine said no. And can you imagine some Republican state saying, no, he's going to be on the ballot and the Democrats say, I mean, it would have been a fucking crazy, crazy disaster, I think.

And what does one look like where Trump is sitting in court being tried for election subversion in the middle of both party conventions in the summer? Weird. Seems really the whole.

But he has every day between now and to try to undermine that outcome by raising questions about the politicization of it, just all of this stuff, about two-tier systems of justice and Joe Biden's weaponizing the government against me and all of this. And so you're in this battle and there's gonna be this tremendous asymmetry because, Donald Trump, there are two people with the biggest bully pulpits, or the biggest bullhorns in American politics are Biden and Trump. And Trump will have every single day to claim that the system is being rigged against him. It's a bunch of bullshit, that it's a liberal judge, blue city, liberal city, all of that to try to undermine the outcome. Deranged prosecutor.

We don't have a real even base to understand what's going to happen, because the 2020 election was so unusual because of it took place in a pandemic. So it's incredibly unprecedented, but it's just like imagining how these two sides are going to interact when one side has decided to, for all totally understandable reasons, to not talk about what is the biggest issue, will be the biggest issue, the biggest news story happening every single day. But I imagine at the convention, everyone who does not work for the Biden administration can talk about it in some way, shape, or form, but the president, and I mentioned the first lady and the vice president... I mean, fucking Nikki Haley's.

Like it's, of course, we.

They're incredibly, incredibly distrustful of government. And the voters who are going to decide this election are often the ones who are most cynical and most distrustful of politics. And so it's not simply, you know, just us all believing that this is going to be totally fine, and then a conviction in itself will stand. Trump has the ability to undermine it with enough people that he could still win when that happens. And this is the point where I should absolutely plug the latest episode of Polar Coaster, where I talked to Celinda Lake, the Democratic pollster, on this very question of how a conviction would impact the 2024 election.

She's got a lot of really good insight from polls and focus groups she's done about how voters are consuming the, the trials and the indictments, and.

Or not convicted, right? Yeah, or not convicted. And I do think how the trial, even before the conviction or not conviction, how the trial plays out and how people understand how the trial is playing out, how it's covered, how it's talked about, not just from Donald Trump, but from the mainstream media, by Democrats, everyone else, is going to be hugely important in how people process the information and ultimately make a decision about Trump's guilt and whether they're going to vote for him or not. I mean, just like.

I mean, really, OJ, I guess, before.

. I was going to say, this will be bigger than OJ.

It's all.

. I mean, there are a lot of things to figure out here, but it is... I mean, this is giant. This is everything that we're talking about, about the economy and the jobs numbers and GDP and what the polling says and the border security, but all these things are very important and they're going to be in an election. Everything's important, but then you have hanging over your head the biggest, most unpredictable thing that's ever a presidential election coming at some point, hopefully, right?

Depending on what the Supreme.

We're going to kick this case. We're going to make it impossible to have this case heard before the election. I just find it really tough to believe that, but who knows? They're the Supreme Court and there's a bunch of Trump appointees on it, and who knows? But it seems...

I don't know. I don't know. From hearing them today, I don't know.

I was in Florida in a room with all the smartest lawyers that worked for Gore, and they were all saying there's that.

. And all the legal experts were saying that it seemed incredibly unlikely the Supreme Court would intervene and stop the count in Florida. Then the Supreme Court intervened and stopped the count in Florida. So anything... And that was a Supreme Court that was much less political than this one.

I'm just saying anything is possible here. If I had to bet one way or the other, I would bet the way you bet, but there's a middle ground where they just delay this thing so late that maybe the trial can't happen, right? Where they don't award... This is something they talked about in the strict scrutiny pod. that was very helpful, is maybe they don't agree with Donald Trump's argument, but they hold hearings.

They have a hearing and they make a decision, and it pushes the case off long enough that it becomes impossible to finish it by October. And that's probably not the outcome that John Roberts wants, but it may be the outcome that enough.

All right. Speaking of just stomach-turning topics, we saved the most fun for last. It appears Trump's 2024 opponent won't be getting indicted anytime soon. The Justice Department just released the final report from Special Counsel Robert Herr, who has decided not to charge Joe Biden with any crimes related to his own mishandling of classified information. Herr did find evidence that Biden, quote, willfully retained and disclosed classified materials after his vice presidency when he was a private citizen, but that evidence, quote, does not establish Mr.

Biden's guilt beyond a reasonable doubt. The report went on to say that a jury would need to find that Biden willfully retained the classified info, and then they speculated that the jury would be unlikely to convict because Biden and his lawyers would likely present him as a, quote, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory. And it goes on to cite numerous examples of Biden having memory issues during his interview with the Special Counsel. It was basically just an in-kind donation to the Trump campaign from Robert Herr, a former Trump appointee and a former clerk for Justice Rehnquist, appointed by Trump to be U.S. attorney in Maryland.

Though, as Biden pointed out in his response, he spoke at the House Democratic Caucus on Thursday, the report also laid out the difference between Biden and Trump on the classified documents issue. As the Special Counsel wrote, and I quote, several material distinctions between Mr. Trump's case and Mr. Biden's are clear. And, by the way, this is a Republican counsel.

Most notably, after given multiple chances, he returned classified documents and avoided prosecution. Mr. Trump allegedly did the opposite. According to the indictment, he has not only refused to return documents for many months, he also obstructed justice by enlisting others to destroy evidence and then lie about it. That's the distinction.

That is the distinction. So this sucks. I mean, it is. It is like everyone remember what happened with James Comey in 2016 is like 50 or 60 years ago. This was, I mean, it wasn't, a press conference.

So I guess that part's better. But the report itself, like worse than what Comey did, because this guy went out of his way to just.

He's not. he has not been indicted. He's not been charged with a crime. But the absolute partisan hackery involved in doing this the way he did it is just. I mean, it's.

it's honestly breathtaking. It is breathtaking the way he does. He didn't have to do any of those things that wasn't necessary for it. The part that Joe Biden read is why he, Joe Biden, wasn't charged with a crime. It's not that he has bad memory.

Like what did this guy think he was going to do? I was going to get up there and the jury was like, oh, I'm sure this guy forgot his classroom information. That was not going to be the defense. It is. I mean, it's really.

I mean, I can only imagine how pissed the White House is. It is, it's pretty stunning. But maybe not surprising. And maybe should be an argument against appointing Republican special counsel to work for Donald Trump to investigate Democratic presidents by choice, which is what Merrick Garland did. But just it's bad.

It is very bad. And it is and it's gonna. I think this is one of those things that is going to be. it's going to be a topic of discussion for the next period. Or there's gonna.

there's gonna be several new cycles about this, because it, Oh, yeah, there's always, you know, these things, there is these two moments that were Biden misspoke and said, and gave the wrong names of European leaders, which is something that I will say, having known Joe Biden a long time, he could have done 20 years ago, right? Yeah, just that is not. it's not a sign of his age. It's just when he's up on stage that happens sometimes. But when you have those two things that are like bubbling, and then you have the special counsel, do this, you can see it on Twitter, you can see it in the text messages that we've gotten from Democrats freaking out about it.

It's gonna. it's gonna kick off a panic cycle among Democrats, and it's gonna be really annoying.

I do not recall, right? People are sending around clips, Trump did that in his interviews, a bunch of times. a bunch of other people, the Biden folks have put out, sent a letter to the special counsel where they had tried to get them to take out some of the more subjective descriptions of Biden's memory in there. Because they noted that, you know, at one point in the report, the special counsel talks about Biden's former counsel forgetting something, and describes it as his memory of these events could well have faded over the course of more than six years. So like, very, like, when other people that they interviewed for this forgot something, they just said, Oh, it could have, it was a long time, they could have forgotten nobody.

But with Biden, they were like, he's a senile old man. Like, it was just that blatant. And you know, they use examples of like, he would say things like 2013.. Was I still vice president then, or 2009?? Was I vice president then at one point, if he forgot, he, he couldn't remember the year that Bo died.

And, you know, all of this is happening. It was a five hour interview, apparently that took place the day after the October 7 attack in Israel. And so and they have this special counsel like thanking him. He's like, I know you're dealing with a lot right now. Thank you for sitting down for five hours, right?

So there's all these like extenuating terms, none of it's going to matter to the right or to like how this gets out in media, how this hits people, right? People are just going to see. like, you know, he's a the line, he's like a well meaning elderly man with a poor memory, like, like, that's just going to be what people remember. And so, yeah, it's, it's bad. And I like, what do you do about it?

If you're the White House, I think the, look, the, they have been dealing with age concerns from the very beginning. And it's not because of the media or Republicans. It's because, like anyone who sees Joe Biden speak has that concern. And I think the only way to handle it is for Joe Biden to like, go out there more and, and reassure people and talk and sit for long interviews and, and, you know, debate Donald Trump and do all the things that you have to do. Like, and if they're not confident, he can do that, then that's a bigger fucking problem.

But if they are confident he can do that, then he got, he's got to go do it, because, like, you can yell at the media all you want. And we can certainly yell at Robert Hurt, because he's a fucking asshole for doing that. And it was completely inappropriate, but it's happened. And people are watching Joe Biden every day. And they're seeing clips of him on Tik TOK that are another place in social media that are way worse than when you actually speak to the man or see him sit down for an interview for a long time.

And so I guess, I think the only way through this problem is to like, get out there more. I don't know. What do you think?

Like they're all serious, very serious policy interviews while people are waiting, are eating wings, waiting for the Super Bowl to start. So it's always, it's always weird. And so I was sort of like, yeah, I probably would have done it, but it's not, everyone thinks it's an obvious layout, but people, no one wants to hear you talk about Gaza and Israel while they're waiting for the Super Bowl to start. Like, that's just not how people consume information, but I might call them back and just say, let's do it right now. Right.

And it's, yeah. And then Biden was going to have to do things like this, no matter what came in, whatever Robert Herr, or whatever the fuck his name is, says in his report, like the, the, this is not going to change the dynamic. It's just going to highlight the dynamic and just becomes a, another reason why the dynamic of people being concerned about the president's age incompetence will, has brought, has gone to the top of the news cycle again. Like in that NBC poll, and I can't remember the exact numbers, but I think there's like a 19 point swing between 2020 and now on who you believe to be more competent and effective between. Biden had a nine point advantage in, uh, maybe it's even more than I think Biden had a nine, nine point advantage in 2020 and the, in the NBC news poll right before the election, I think he's down 16 now.

Um, and so part of that is people don't see enough Joe Biden. And the only way to change that is for people to see more Joe Biden. And this is just, you're, there are two parts of these things, right? There's how do you stop the news cycle from happening, which is something like doing the Superbowl interview, where you just tell people, and then there's how do you just start deal with? a larger concern that is the largest impediment to Joe Biden's reelection is questions about age and capacity.

is to go out there and show everyone that you can do the job by engaging with people, being in debates, all of that. And so he's going to do that, no matter what, I think the urgency probably like bumped up a few.

And then it's, like, you know, figure skating judges, I think, is what a pluff used to call it. Uh, and they w they would judge you by your performance, but like, that is unfortunately the reality we live in. and Joe Biden's performance when he speaks, when he gives an interview, from now until November, is going to be a huge part of whether he wins the election or not. huge, because, even like we've been talking about, the economy is a challenge for him. And we've seen now over the last several weeks, economic sentiment is getting better.

Consumer sentiment is getting better. It's starting to show up in the polls that voters are thinking the economy is improving and it's not yet redounding to Joe Biden's benefit. And part of that is because the, the, the, the concerns about his age persist. And the only, like, the only way to, to address that is with Joe Biden himself, right? Like the, the campaign's message is good.

The white house's message is good. He's been at, like, I totally agree that he's been a excellent president. I have huge problems with his Gaza policy, huge problems, but like legislatively, domestically, like he's, he's, all of that stuff is firing on all cylinders, but like, I'm telling you that he's got to, he's, he's got to perform right. And he's got to, like allay these concerns and fucking Robert Herr, just put them front and.

And that now the stakes are always high in the city and they're always high in the last city before the reelected. Now they're even higher. And because that,

Right. And like, I, like, I saw Biden, uh, last December, and he, I said this before, like he remembered, he recognized my mother-in-law having met her four years earlier at one Katie Porter events, and he, like, recognized her in the white house and then told us stories and told my father-in-law stories about, like the Bork confirmation with a level of detail that, frankly, was alarming.

Not like he forgot anything. Like he knew every single thing that happened back in the seventies. So it's not like it's, it's not the fact of his, his mental acuity. It is the perception. And I realize that's frustrating, but like that it's, it's the biggest task.

The biggest task is to.

It was just that you would do it, because it's, it is the single biggest issue in the election, and Democrats cannot stop panicking privately to reporters. So you would be hearing about it. And the fact that you're not from Republicans or Democrats other than the Republicans, who are clearly lying, like McCarthy, is evidence that what Robert Herr is saying is not an accurate portrayal of how Joe Biden is on every, on a daily.

He's obviously got spinal issues. That means he's shuffling around. So it just, it exudes old man, even though, like the words he's saying and his ability to like communicate in private with people is extremely sharp. So like, that's just something that they gotta work on. And it's ridiculous that the fucking fate of democracy depends on that, but that's.

So it's, it's brutal. All right. Enough of that. Uh, when we come back, we're gonna talk about the Superbowl a little bit, just to end on something light.

All right, we're back. And, um, I said we were going to come back and talk about the Superbowl. So naturally we had to bring on John Lovett. Boy, am I excited to talk about the Superbowl,

Here's how it works. I'm going to give you bets. Then I will give you the odds. You have to decide whether or not you want to wager. In a game we're calling, all bets are shaken off.

Now here's how it's going to work. First of all, the stakes aren't cold, hard cash. They're your dignity. On Thursday, we will check in and see which of you came out ahead and which of you came out behind. The losers reward humiliation.

The loser will have to send out a painfully earnest tweet crafted by the team, begging Taylor Swift to endorse Joe Biden. Oh, my goodness. Boy, am I glad I'm hosting instead of playing. It's both what's written on this and what I'm feeling. But first, because our audience is a strong, quietly head to another room and listen to a podcast until the halftime show vibe, uh, we wanted to quickly answer the question, what is sports betting?

And here's the gist. people bet on the game, but also in other silly aspects around the game, like how long the national anthem will be, and the less likely the predicted outcome, the longer the odds. And so the more you can win. to keep this simple, each wager will be 100 crooked bucks. Each of you can make five bets.

You must bet five times and there will only be seven opportunities. In other words, you can skip two, but you're going to have to bet five times. Okay. Okay. You can skip a maximum.

Okay. I'm going to take some notes here. Then it's complicated. First up, what color will the Gatorade dumped on the winning team be? Uh, you can choose between orange, red, or blue.

orange. The odds are plus two, 40.. No, yellow, huh? Blue. The odds are plus four, 30.

red. The odds are plus four, 90..

I'm sorry. Could you do the odds again? Orange to 40, blue for 30, red for 90, red being the longest shot and the most delicious.

And what are you going to wager? You have to wager. you're raging 100..

You're going to bet. So try to simplify it. You bet five times, but then the winner is a person.

how do sports betting work? What is the plus, two, 40, minus one, 10 mean? I had to like, figure it all out. I didn't have to do.

Okay. What surprise guest will Usher bring out during his halftime show? You have three options. Justin Bieber minus 200..

That's just so people understand. if you bet 100, you'll net 50.. Okay. Nicki Minaj plus three 10. Taylor Swift plus five, 50..

I actually think those are pretty that I would think you'd get better odds on that. if I was being yeah, I thought so too. That'd be wild. Wild. But that's what that's.

Hey, that's what the sportsbook says. And I was trying. They're trying to get people to.

And so what Bieber is what? Just minus 200.. You bet 100, you're gonna net what you're gonna net 50.. Sure. People, I guess, are.

the people would not be surprised to see Justin.

And I don't think I mean sexual completions. I think it must be some sort of sports thing, catching and throwing and so forth. There, you know, obviously, I don't know who I like more Purdy or my homes. Anyway, what do you have to give up for my home? It's 100..

It's plus 110 for both. It's just who's gonna have more between the two of them. They're basically they're. they're even. Plus 110, for either.

I'll take my homes. I'm gonna take Purdy. Wow, there it is. There it is.

Right.

that's minus 200.

. Chiefs scoring more touchdowns. That's plus 150.. Did she? Let's, let's look.

We can, we can look up. How many Grammys did she win? She only won two. Oh, and the Chiefs have more touchdowns.

Wow. OK. OK. OK. OK.

Next up, will Travis Kelsey have more catches than Taylor Swift? Grammy nominations?

Hmm. Over 6.5 catches. That's minus 200. under 6.5 catches, plus 135.. Wait, will they have more?

What is it?

Got it. Got it.

I assume six.

Really? This is right now. This contest is coming down to the Gatorade color.

No, no, no, no, no. Purdy versus Mahomes. But the odds on it. But the odds on if it's red Gatorade. If it's red Gatorade,

Jason Kelsey plus 500.

. Ed Kelsey plus 900.. Scott Swift plus 700.. Cara Delevingne plus 900.. Gigi Hadid plus 1000..

Good. Wow. That's a that's. those are, that's. that's exciting.

How you see Gigi Hadid in that fucking booth. A thousand dollars. That's cool as hell.

You also can skip to the next one. You don't have to do this bet. You can skip. Can we, can we hear the?

OK, I'm going to skip this one. Again,

Will Travis Kelsey propose to Taylor Swift? Yes. Plus 1000, which is crazy, which is like I think it's more likely that Taylor is seen with Gigi Hadid roughly the same odds as Taylor, and Gigi Hadid and Taylor getting proposed to. It must mean that. Yeah.

Anyway, the no is unfortunately minus 3000.

. What? Which means that if you bet your hundred, you could net three dollars. So the question is, do you want those three dollars, which I don't, which could make the difference if we crunch some numbers or you lose one hundred dollars? Well, sure.

But that's because it's not going to happen. No, no, no. If you bet, if you right. Well, I'm saying you're betting. That's the thing.

You're betting on a dream. You're betting on love. You can. you can just try to keep your hundred and maybe win three dollars, or you can push your chips forward and think Travis gets on one knee.

I feel bad for Ed Kelce in this, because it's like. I think Ed Kelce being seen next to Taylor Swift is only slightly less likely than the proposal. But why not?

OK,

OK, hold on, hold on,

two thousand that Travis will get on one knee. You'll take the whole fucking thing.

She performs. Travis runs out onto the field from the locker room and then asked her to marry him after the performance. You want that? What do you want that?

No fun for anybody. Trump, twenty twenty four.

All right. Well, we all, we all heard it. We all have the odds. Basically a lot riding on red.

Thanks,

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